Points
46Points expected by the market
43.03Gap
+2.97Yield
+10.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.12 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 12 | −2.60 | −33.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 26 | +5.59 | +36.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | +1.10 | +18.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.12 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 9 | −3.58 | −46.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 12 | +3.80 | +75.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.36 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.97 | +56.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 14 | +1.79 | +12.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +2.46 | +77.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Freiburg · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −1.57 |
| M2 | Heidenheim · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.45 | −0.12 |
| M3 | Wolfsburg · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +1.50 |
| M4 | FC Koln · Away16 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +3.32 |
| M5 | Union Berlin · Away23 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +5.21 |
| M6 | Dortmund · Home29 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +4.04 |
| M7 | Werder Bremen · Away7 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.61 | +5.65 |
| M8 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.68 | +3.97 |
| M9 | Stuttgart · Away28 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.16 | +6.14 |
| M10 | Leverkusen · Home4 Nov 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.72 | +5.41 |
| M11 | Augsburg · Away11 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +5.11 |
| M12 | Mainz · Home26 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | +4.33 |
| M13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +3.13 |
| M14 | Bochum · Home8 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +4.27 |
| M15 | RB Leipzig · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.52 | +3.75 |
| M16 | Darmstadt · Home19 Dec 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.12 | +2.63 |
| M17 | Bayern Munich · Away12 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.25 | +2.38 |
| M18 | Freiburg · Away20 Jan 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.07 | +1.31 |
| M19 | Heidenheim · Home27 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | +0.41 |
| M20 | Wolfsburg · Away4 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.27 |
| M21 | FC Koln · Home11 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | −0.63 |
| M22 | Union Berlin · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.76 | −2.38 |
| M23 | Dortmund · Away25 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.34 | −0.04 |
| M24 | Werder Bremen · Home3 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +1.25 |
| M25 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away10 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | +0.17 |
| M26 | Stuttgart · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −0.73 |
| M27 | Leverkusen · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.35 | −1.08 |
| M28 | Augsburg · Home7 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +0.41 |
| M29 | Mainz · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.92 | −0.51 |
| M30 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home20 Apr 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.48 | +0.97 |
| M31 | Bochum · Away26 Apr 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −0.21 |
| M32 | RB Leipzig · Home3 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.05 |
| M33 | Darmstadt · Away12 May 2024 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +1.03 |
| M34 | Bayern Munich · Home18 May 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.94 | +2.97 |
| Total | 46 | +2.97 | |||