Points
90Points expected by the market
70.08Gap
+19.92Yield
+27.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | 49 | +7.96 | +20.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 26 | +6.29 | +30.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 14 | +5.44 | +65.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.23 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 37 | +5.05 | +15.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.79 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.09 | +141.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +2.91 | +37.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 24 | +8.08 | +63.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 8 | +2.35 | +27.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.23 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | RB Leipzig · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.56 |
| M2 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +2.71 |
| M3 | Darmstadt · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.51 | +3.22 |
| M4 | Bayern Munich · Away15 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.23 | +3.44 |
| M5 | Heidenheim · Home24 Sep 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.48 | +3.92 |
| M6 | Mainz · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +4.89 |
| M7 | FC Koln · Home8 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +5.46 |
| M8 | Wolfsburg · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +6.59 |
| M9 | Freiburg · Home29 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.53 | +7.11 |
| M10 | Hoffenheim · Away4 Nov 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.92 | +8.03 |
| M11 | Union Berlin · Home12 Nov 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +8.73 |
| M12 | Werder Bremen · Away25 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +9.58 |
| M13 | Dortmund · Home3 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | +8.60 |
| M14 | Stuttgart · Away10 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +8.12 |
| M15 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home17 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +8.71 |
| M16 | Bochum · Home20 Dec 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.49 | +9.20 |
| M17 | Augsburg · Away13 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +10.09 |
| M18 | RB Leipzig · Away20 Jan 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.67 | +11.76 |
| M19 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home27 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.49 | +10.27 |
| M20 | Darmstadt · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.61 | +10.88 |
| M21 | Bayern Munich · Home10 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +12.42 |
| M22 | Heidenheim · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +13.16 |
| M23 | Mainz · Home23 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.62 | +13.78 |
| M24 | FC Koln · Away3 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +14.49 |
| M25 | Wolfsburg · Home10 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +15.11 |
| M26 | Freiburg · Away17 Mar 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.88 | +15.99 |
| M27 | Hoffenheim · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.47 | +16.47 |
| M28 | Union Berlin · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +17.49 |
| M29 | Werder Bremen · Home14 Apr 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.49 | +17.98 |
| M30 | Dortmund · Away21 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +17.60 |
| M31 | Stuttgart · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | +16.79 |
| M32 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away5 May 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +18.33 |
| M33 | Bochum · Away12 May 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +19.45 |
| M34 | Augsburg · Home18 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.46 | +19.92 |
| Total | 90 | +19.92 | |||