Points
35Points expected by the market
45.12Gap
−10.12Yield
−53.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.78 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 16 | −1.92 | −25.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 10 | −8.10 | −82.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 6 | −0.88 | −53.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.78 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 16 | −1.92 | −25.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −3.32 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.92 | +54.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 9 | −4.78 | −77.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −1.80 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Union Berlin · Away20 Aug 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.09 | −1.09 |
| M2 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home27 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −1.48 |
| M3 | Werder Bremen · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.38 | −2.86 |
| M4 | Stuttgart · Home16 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −4.23 |
| M5 | Augsburg · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −5.54 |
| M6 | Leverkusen · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.76 | −6.30 |
| M7 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away6 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | −6.47 |
| M8 | Bayern Munich · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.47 | −6.93 |
| M9 | Bochum · Away27 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.42 | −7.36 |
| M10 | RB Leipzig · Home4 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.14 | −5.21 |
| M11 | Darmstadt · Away11 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −5.74 |
| M12 | Hoffenheim · Away26 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −5.71 |
| M13 | Freiburg · Home3 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | −7.26 |
| M14 | FC Koln · Away10 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | −7.62 |
| M15 | Heidenheim · Home16 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.91 | −9.53 |
| M16 | Dortmund · Away19 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.28 | −9.25 |
| M17 | Wolfsburg · Home13 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −9.94 |
| M18 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away26 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −11.07 |
| M19 | Werder Bremen · Home3 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | −12.75 |
| M20 | Union Berlin · Home7 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −13.43 |
| M21 | Stuttgart · Away11 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.63 | −14.06 |
| M22 | Augsburg · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −12.79 |
| M23 | Leverkusen · Away23 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.46 | −13.25 |
| M24 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | −14.01 |
| M25 | Bayern Munich · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 1-8 | 0 | −0.38 | −14.39 |
| M26 | Bochum · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −13.23 |
| M27 | RB Leipzig · Away30 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.46 | −12.77 |
| M28 | Darmstadt · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.78 | −11.99 |
| M29 | Hoffenheim · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.16 | −10.83 |
| M30 | Freiburg · Away21 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −11.30 |
| M31 | FC Koln · Home28 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | −12.35 |
| M32 | Heidenheim · Away5 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −12.82 |
| M33 | Dortmund · Home11 May 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.26 | −11.56 |
| M34 | Wolfsburg · Away18 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | −10.12 |
| Total | 35 | −10.12 | |||