Points
65Points expected by the market
66.84Gap
−1.84Yield
−15.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 16 | 39 | +2.06 | +1.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 21 | −0.30 | −7.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 4 | −2.73 | −50.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.86 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 30 | −0.48 | −9.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.94 | +57.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.42 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.54 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 15 | −2.24 | −22.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.31 | −38.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.93 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Leverkusen · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.29 |
| M2 | Stuttgart · Home25 Aug 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.96 | −0.32 |
| M3 | Union Berlin · Away3 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.03 |
| M4 | Augsburg · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +1.60 |
| M5 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away23 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +2.67 |
| M6 | Bayern Munich · Home30 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.06 | +2.74 |
| M7 | Bochum · Home7 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.41 | +1.32 |
| M8 | Darmstadt · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +2.18 |
| M9 | FC Koln · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +3.02 |
| M10 | Mainz · Away4 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.91 | +1.11 |
| M11 | Freiburg · Home12 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.83 | +1.95 |
| M12 | Wolfsburg · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | +0.21 |
| M13 | Heidenheim · Home2 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.50 | +0.71 |
| M14 | Dortmund · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.59 | +2.30 |
| M15 | Hoffenheim · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.68 | +2.98 |
| M16 | Werder Bremen · Away19 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | +1.93 |
| M17 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home13 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.24 | −0.30 |
| M18 | Leverkusen · Home20 Jan 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −1.72 |
| M19 | Stuttgart · Away27 Jan 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.35 | −3.07 |
| M20 | Union Berlin · Home4 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.69 | −2.38 |
| M21 | Augsburg · Away10 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.91 | −3.29 |
| M22 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.67 | −2.62 |
| M23 | Bayern Munich · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −3.55 |
| M24 | Bochum · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.05 | −2.50 |
| M25 | Darmstadt · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.34 | −2.15 |
| M26 | FC Koln · Away15 Mar 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.84 | −1.31 |
| M27 | Mainz · Home30 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.28 | −2.60 |
| M28 | Freiburg · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.96 | −1.63 |
| M29 | Wolfsburg · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.57 | −1.06 |
| M30 | Heidenheim · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.84 | −0.22 |
| M31 | Dortmund · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +0.75 |
| M32 | Hoffenheim · Away3 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.08 | −0.33 |
| M33 | Werder Bremen · Home11 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.26 | −1.59 |
| M34 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away18 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | −1.84 |
| Total | 65 | −1.84 | |||