Points
73Points expected by the market
58.65Gap
+14.35Yield
+36.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 23 | +2.44 | +7.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 15 | −3.95 | −13.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 34 | +17.28 | +134.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.42 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 20 | +1.62 | +3.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +1.28 | +28.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 13 | +6.01 | +96.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 6 | −5.23 | −41.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 21 | +11.27 | +161.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.42 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bochum · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +1.14 |
| M2 | RB Leipzig · Away25 Aug 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.75 | +0.39 |
| M3 | Freiburg · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +1.85 |
| M4 | Mainz · Away16 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +3.50 |
| M5 | Darmstadt · Home22 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.73 | +4.23 |
| M6 | FC Koln · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +5.80 |
| M7 | Wolfsburg · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +7.02 |
| M8 | Union Berlin · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +8.71 |
| M9 | Hoffenheim · Home28 Oct 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.94 | +6.77 |
| M10 | Heidenheim · Away5 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.02 | +4.75 |
| M11 | Dortmund · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +6.32 |
| M12 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away25 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +7.88 |
| M13 | Werder Bremen · Home2 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +8.56 |
| M14 | Leverkusen · Home10 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +8.30 |
| M15 | Bayern Munich · Away17 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.72 | +7.58 |
| M16 | Augsburg · Home20 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +8.30 |
| M17 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away14 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.74 | +6.56 |
| M18 | Bochum · Away20 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.84 | +4.72 |
| M19 | RB Leipzig · Home27 Jan 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.61 | +6.34 |
| M20 | Freiburg · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +7.78 |
| M21 | Mainz · Home11 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +8.63 |
| M22 | Darmstadt · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.82 | +9.45 |
| M23 | FC Koln · Home24 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.33 | +8.12 |
| M24 | Wolfsburg · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.43 | +9.55 |
| M25 | Union Berlin · Home8 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +10.41 |
| M26 | Hoffenheim · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +11.54 |
| M27 | Heidenheim · Home31 Mar 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.38 | +10.15 |
| M28 | Dortmund · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +12.07 |
| M29 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +12.92 |
| M30 | Werder Bremen · Away21 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | +11.01 |
| M31 | Leverkusen · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.05 | +11.05 |
| M32 | Bayern Munich · Home4 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +12.68 |
| M33 | Augsburg · Away10 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +13.84 |
| M34 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home18 May 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +14.35 |
| Total | 73 | +14.35 | |||