Points
33Points expected by the market
43.20Gap
−10.20Yield
−40.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 23 | +3.95 | +25.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 4 | −10.60 | −78.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 6 | −3.56 | −67.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 20 | +2.67 | +17.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 3 | −3.57 | −53.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.62 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.29 | +102.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 1 | −7.03 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 6 | −1.95 | −60.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Mainz · Home20 Aug 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +1.37 |
| M2 | Darmstadt · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +2.66 |
| M3 | RB Leipzig · Home3 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.09 | +1.57 |
| M4 | Wolfsburg · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.46 |
| M5 | Hoffenheim · Home23 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −1.17 |
| M6 | Heidenheim · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | −2.70 |
| M7 | Dortmund · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.83 | −3.53 |
| M8 | Stuttgart · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −4.94 |
| M9 | Werder Bremen · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −6.38 |
| M10 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home4 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.43 | −7.81 |
| M11 | Leverkusen · Away12 Nov 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.52 | −8.33 |
| M12 | Augsburg · Home25 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −9.04 |
| M13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.36 | −7.68 |
| M14 | Bochum · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −9.01 |
| M15 | FC Koln · Home20 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.15 | −7.86 |
| M16 | Freiburg · Away13 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | −7.93 |
| M17 | Bayern Munich · Away24 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.27 | −8.20 |
| M18 | Darmstadt · Home28 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −7.13 |
| M19 | RB Leipzig · Away4 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.51 | −7.65 |
| M20 | Mainz · Away7 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −7.68 |
| M21 | Wolfsburg · Home10 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −6.20 |
| M22 | Hoffenheim · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | −4.18 |
| M23 | Heidenheim · Home24 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | −5.00 |
| M24 | Dortmund · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −6.10 |
| M25 | Stuttgart · Away8 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.65 | −6.76 |
| M26 | Werder Bremen · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | −5.41 |
| M27 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away30 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | −5.39 |
| M28 | Leverkusen · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | −6.17 |
| M29 | Augsburg · Away12 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −7.27 |
| M30 | Bayern Munich · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.84 | −8.10 |
| M31 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away28 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −8.40 |
| M32 | Bochum · Home5 May 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.72 | −10.12 |
| M33 | FC Koln · Away11 May 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −11.44 |
| M34 | Freiburg · Home18 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | −10.20 |
| Total | 33 | −10.20 | |||