Points
42Points expected by the market
36.84Gap
+5.16Yield
+62.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.91 | −46.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 21 | +3.60 | +19.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 16 | +3.47 | +121.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.91 | −46.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 16 | +4.87 | +57.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | +0.26 | −10.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.27 | −40.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 12 | +3.21 | +176.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bayern Munich · Home18 Aug 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.49 | −0.49 |
| M2 | Freiburg · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.36 |
| M3 | Mainz · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +0.29 |
| M4 | Heidenheim · Away17 Sep 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.25 | −0.96 |
| M5 | FC Koln · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +0.58 |
| M6 | Darmstadt · Away1 Oct 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.49 | −0.92 |
| M7 | Hoffenheim · Home7 Oct 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −2.27 |
| M8 | Dortmund · Away20 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.46 | −2.73 |
| M9 | Union Berlin · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | −1.02 |
| M10 | Wolfsburg · Away5 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.12 | −0.90 |
| M11 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home12 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | −1.21 |
| M12 | Leverkusen · Home25 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.66 | −1.87 |
| M13 | Stuttgart · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.51 | −2.38 |
| M14 | Augsburg · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −0.92 |
| M15 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away15 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −1.06 |
| M16 | RB Leipzig · Home19 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.25 | −0.81 |
| M17 | Bochum · Away14 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.94 |
| M18 | Bayern Munich · Away21 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.81 | +1.86 |
| M19 | Freiburg · Home27 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +3.38 |
| M20 | Mainz · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +5.34 |
| M21 | Heidenheim · Home10 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.82 | +3.52 |
| M22 | FC Koln · Away16 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +5.27 |
| M23 | Darmstadt · Home24 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | +4.38 |
| M24 | Hoffenheim · Away3 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +3.32 |
| M25 | Dortmund · Home9 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | +2.35 |
| M26 | Union Berlin · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +1.28 |
| M27 | Wolfsburg · Home30 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −0.07 |
| M28 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away5 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.02 |
| M29 | Leverkusen · Away14 Apr 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.36 | −0.33 |
| M30 | Stuttgart · Home21 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.14 | +1.80 |
| M31 | Augsburg · Away27 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.13 | +3.93 |
| M32 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home4 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | +3.33 |
| M33 | RB Leipzig · Away11 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.43 | +3.76 |
| M34 | Bochum · Home18 May 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +5.16 |
| Total | 42 | +5.16 | |||