Points
37Points expected by the market
44.57Gap
−7.57Yield
−29.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.63 | +30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +2.22 | +10.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 12 | −7.42 | −39.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 4 | −2.99 | −58.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.63 | +30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | +0.94 | −0.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 1 | −5.56 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.44 | +24.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.28 | +97.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 11 | −1.87 | −9.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 1 | −3.43 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Heidenheim · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +1.02 |
| M2 | FC Koln · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +2.89 |
| M3 | Hoffenheim · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.37 | +1.52 |
| M4 | Union Berlin · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +2.92 |
| M5 | Dortmund · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | +2.03 |
| M6 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +3.42 |
| M7 | Stuttgart · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.96 | +2.45 |
| M8 | Leverkusen · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | +1.56 |
| M9 | Augsburg · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.24 |
| M10 | Werder Bremen · Home5 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.90 | −0.66 |
| M11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away10 Nov 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.93 |
| M12 | RB Leipzig · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | +0.05 |
| M13 | Bochum · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −1.30 |
| M14 | Freiburg · Home9 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | −2.88 |
| M15 | Darmstadt · Away16 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −1.60 |
| M16 | Bayern Munich · Home20 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.65 | −2.25 |
| M17 | Mainz · Away13 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −2.28 |
| M18 | Heidenheim · Away20 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −2.69 |
| M19 | FC Koln · Home27 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | −3.61 |
| M20 | Hoffenheim · Home4 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | −4.21 |
| M21 | Union Berlin · Away10 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −5.40 |
| M22 | Dortmund · Home17 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | −5.52 |
| M23 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away25 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | −5.78 |
| M24 | Stuttgart · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −6.94 |
| M25 | Leverkusen · Away10 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.45 | −7.40 |
| M26 | Augsburg · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.52 | −8.92 |
| M27 | Werder Bremen · Away30 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −7.29 |
| M28 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home7 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.72 | −9.01 |
| M29 | RB Leipzig · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.42 | −9.43 |
| M30 | Bochum · Home20 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −8.15 |
| M31 | Freiburg · Away27 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | −6.34 |
| M32 | Darmstadt · Home4 May 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.63 | −5.71 |
| M33 | Bayern Munich · Away12 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.68 | −6.39 |
| M34 | Mainz · Home18 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −7.57 |
| Total | 37 | −7.57 | |||