Points
43Points expected by the market
39.38Gap
+3.62Yield
+10.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −2.13 | −16.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 14 | +0.40 | −20.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 19 | +5.35 | +39.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −0.52 | −3.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.10 | −30.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.21 | +1.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.60 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.30 | +2.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 16 | +5.56 | +51.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Werder Bremen · Home24 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.44 |
| M2 | Heidenheim · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.26 | −1.70 |
| M3 | St Pauli · Home15 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −0.37 |
| M4 | Mainz · Home20 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.86 |
| M5 | RB Leipzig · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.69 | −2.55 |
| M6 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home4 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | −1.00 |
| M7 | Freiburg · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.79 | −1.79 |
| M8 | Dortmund · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.05 | +0.26 |
| M9 | Wolfsburg · Away2 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.18 |
| M10 | Hoffenheim · Home10 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.46 |
| M11 | Bayern Munich · Away22 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.24 | −0.70 |
| M12 | Bochum · Home30 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +0.44 |
| M13 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away7 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.30 | +0.74 |
| M14 | Leverkusen · Home14 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.71 | +0.02 |
| M15 | Holstein Kiel · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.60 | −1.58 |
| M16 | Stuttgart · Home12 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −2.57 |
| M17 | Union Berlin · Away15 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.92 | −0.65 |
| M18 | Werder Bremen · Away19 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +1.36 |
| M19 | Heidenheim · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +2.64 |
| M20 | St Pauli · Away1 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | +2.57 |
| M21 | Mainz · Away8 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.13 | +2.69 |
| M22 | RB Leipzig · Home14 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | +2.47 |
| M23 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +4.48 |
| M24 | Freiburg · Home2 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | +4.03 |
| M25 | Dortmund · Away8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.45 | +6.48 |
| M26 | Wolfsburg · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +8.03 |
| M27 | Hoffenheim · Away29 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +7.80 |
| M28 | Bayern Munich · Home4 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.57 | +7.24 |
| M29 | Bochum · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +9.02 |
| M30 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home20 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | +8.63 |
| M31 | Leverkusen · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.66 | +7.97 |
| M32 | Holstein Kiel · Home4 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.84 | +6.12 |
| M33 | Stuttgart · Away11 May 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.72 | +5.40 |
| M34 | Union Berlin · Home17 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.78 | +3.62 |
| Total | 43 | +3.62 | |||