Points
82Points expected by the market
80.26Gap
+1.74Yield
−8.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 26 | 71 | +6.01 | +7.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −3.76 | −51.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.51 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 16 | 43 | +1.94 | +1.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.97 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 28 | +4.07 | +15.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −2.80 | −43.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.51 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wolfsburg · Away25 Aug 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.86 | +0.86 |
| M2 | Freiburg · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.47 | +1.34 |
| M3 | Holstein Kiel · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.48 | +1.82 |
| M4 | Werder Bremen · Away21 Sep 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.64 | +2.45 |
| M5 | Leverkusen · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.97 | +1.49 |
| M6 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away6 Oct 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.08 | +0.40 |
| M7 | Stuttgart · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +1.03 |
| M8 | Bochum · Away27 Oct 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.39 | +1.42 |
| M9 | Union Berlin · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.38 | +1.80 |
| M10 | St Pauli · Away9 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.46 | +2.26 |
| M11 | Augsburg · Home22 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.34 | +2.60 |
| M12 | Dortmund · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | +1.71 |
| M13 | Heidenheim · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.32 | +2.03 |
| M14 | Mainz · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.11 | −0.08 |
| M15 | RB Leipzig · Home20 Dec 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.51 | +0.43 |
| M16 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away11 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +1.12 |
| M17 | Hoffenheim · Home15 Jan 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.32 | +1.44 |
| M18 | Wolfsburg · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.38 | +1.83 |
| M19 | Freiburg · Away25 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.53 | +2.36 |
| M20 | Holstein Kiel · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.17 | +2.53 |
| M21 | Werder Bremen · Home7 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.30 | +2.83 |
| M22 | Leverkusen · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | +2.32 |
| M23 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +2.89 |
| M24 | Stuttgart · Away28 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.11 | +4.01 |
| M25 | Bochum · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.57 | +1.44 |
| M26 | Union Berlin · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.34 | +0.10 |
| M27 | St Pauli · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.33 | +0.43 |
| M28 | Augsburg · Away4 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.76 | +1.19 |
| M29 | Dortmund · Home12 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.16 | +0.04 |
| M30 | Heidenheim · Away19 Apr 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.60 | +0.63 |
| M31 | Mainz · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.55 | +1.18 |
| M32 | RB Leipzig · Away3 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.88 | +0.29 |
| M33 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home10 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.39 | +0.68 |
| M34 | Hoffenheim · Away17 May 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +1.74 |
| Total | 82 | +1.74 | |||