Points
25Points expected by the market
32.86Gap
−7.86Yield
+1.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.55 | +5.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 7 | −10.10 | −80.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 14 | +1.70 | +57.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.55 | +5.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 5 | −9.66 | −76.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +1.49 | +37.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.44 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 10 | +0.21 | +63.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | RB Leipzig · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.38 | −0.38 |
| M2 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −1.64 |
| M3 | Freiburg · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −2.37 |
| M4 | Holstein Kiel · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.82 | −3.19 |
| M5 | Dortmund · Away27 Sep 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.36 | −3.55 |
| M6 | Wolfsburg · Home5 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −4.75 |
| M7 | Hoffenheim · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −5.47 |
| M8 | Bayern Munich · Home27 Oct 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.29 | −5.76 |
| M9 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 2-7 | 0 | −0.64 | −6.40 |
| M10 | Leverkusen · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.58 | −5.82 |
| M11 | Stuttgart · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.49 | −6.32 |
| M12 | Augsburg · Away30 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −7.20 |
| M13 | Werder Bremen · Home7 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −8.27 |
| M14 | Union Berlin · Away14 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.23 | −6.04 |
| M15 | Heidenheim · Home22 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −4.68 |
| M16 | Mainz · Away11 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −5.47 |
| M17 | St Pauli · Home15 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −3.89 |
| M18 | RB Leipzig · Home18 Jan 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.13 | −4.02 |
| M19 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −4.89 |
| M20 | Freiburg · Home1 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −6.21 |
| M21 | Holstein Kiel · Away9 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.21 | −6.42 |
| M22 | Dortmund · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.26 | −4.16 |
| M23 | Wolfsburg · Away22 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | −3.95 |
| M24 | Hoffenheim · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | −5.40 |
| M25 | Bayern Munich · Away8 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.69 | −2.71 |
| M26 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home16 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −4.04 |
| M27 | Leverkusen · Away28 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.37 | −4.41 |
| M28 | Stuttgart · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.40 | −5.81 |
| M29 | Augsburg · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −7.30 |
| M30 | Werder Bremen · Away19 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.77 | −8.08 |
| M31 | Union Berlin · Home27 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −8.57 |
| M32 | Heidenheim · Away2 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −8.80 |
| M33 | Mainz · Home10 May 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.18 | −9.98 |
| M34 | St Pauli · Away17 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.12 | −7.86 |
| Total | 25 | −7.86 | |||