Points
45Points expected by the market
42.03Gap
+2.97Yield
−1.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 12 | +3.25 | +55.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 26 | +2.09 | +8.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 4 | −3.17 | −52.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 12 | +3.25 | +55.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −3.45 | −42.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.30 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 17 | +5.54 | +60.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 4 | −1.86 | −40.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Leverkusen · Home23 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.78 | −0.78 |
| M2 | Bochum · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +0.74 |
| M3 | Stuttgart · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.32 | −0.58 |
| M4 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −1.49 |
| M5 | Union Berlin · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −0.08 |
| M6 | Augsburg · Away4 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.37 |
| M7 | Heidenheim · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.25 | −0.13 |
| M8 | Mainz · Away25 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −0.34 |
| M9 | Werder Bremen · Home3 Nov 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +1.12 |
| M10 | RB Leipzig · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.19 | +1.32 |
| M11 | St Pauli · Home24 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +2.54 |
| M12 | Freiburg · Away30 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.06 | +1.48 |
| M13 | Dortmund · Home7 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | +1.38 |
| M14 | Holstein Kiel · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.80 | +2.18 |
| M15 | Hoffenheim · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +3.96 |
| M16 | Bayern Munich · Home11 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.52 | +3.44 |
| M17 | Wolfsburg · Away14 Jan 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.98 | +2.46 |
| M18 | Leverkusen · Away18 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.42 | +2.03 |
| M19 | Bochum · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +3.15 |
| M20 | Stuttgart · Away1 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.17 | +5.32 |
| M21 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home8 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +4.95 |
| M22 | Union Berlin · Away15 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +6.83 |
| M23 | Augsburg · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.75 | +5.08 |
| M24 | Heidenheim · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +6.70 |
| M25 | Mainz · Home7 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.34 | +5.35 |
| M26 | Werder Bremen · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.81 | +7.16 |
| M27 | RB Leipzig · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +8.90 |
| M28 | St Pauli · Away6 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +8.71 |
| M29 | Freiburg · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | +7.18 |
| M30 | Dortmund · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.57 | +6.61 |
| M31 | Holstein Kiel · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.36 | +5.25 |
| M32 | Hoffenheim · Home3 May 2025 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.51 | +4.74 |
| M33 | Bayern Munich · Away10 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.29 | +4.46 |
| M34 | Wolfsburg · Home17 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +2.97 |
| Total | 45 | +2.97 | |||