Points
57Points expected by the market
61.80Gap
−4.80Yield
−15.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 22 | −1.33 | −9.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 30 | −0.46 | +0.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 3 | −2.44 | −36.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.57 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 22 | +0.83 | +1.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +1.95 | +23.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.91 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.16 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 17 | −2.42 | −12.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 3 | −2.44 | −36.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.34 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +1.13 |
| M2 | Werder Bremen · Away31 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | +0.38 |
| M3 | Heidenheim · Home13 Sep 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.70 | +1.08 |
| M4 | Stuttgart · Away22 Sep 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.24 | −0.16 |
| M5 | Bochum · Home27 Sep 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.48 | +0.32 |
| M6 | Union Berlin · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.69 | −1.37 |
| M7 | St Pauli · Home18 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.61 | −0.76 |
| M8 | Augsburg · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.82 | −2.57 |
| M9 | RB Leipzig · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | −1.14 |
| M10 | Mainz · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.73 | −2.87 |
| M11 | Freiburg · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −1.71 |
| M12 | Bayern Munich · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −1.58 |
| M13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away7 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −2.23 |
| M14 | Hoffenheim · Home15 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.29 | −3.52 |
| M15 | Wolfsburg · Away22 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −2.10 |
| M16 | Leverkusen · Home10 Jan 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −3.14 |
| M17 | Holstein Kiel · Away14 Jan 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −2.16 | −5.30 |
| M18 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away17 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −6.72 |
| M19 | Werder Bremen · Home25 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.11 | −7.83 |
| M20 | Heidenheim · Away1 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | −6.75 |
| M21 | Stuttgart · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | −8.46 |
| M22 | Bochum · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.05 | −10.51 |
| M23 | Union Berlin · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.87 | −9.64 |
| M24 | St Pauli · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −8.45 |
| M25 | Augsburg · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.25 | −10.70 |
| M26 | RB Leipzig · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −12.11 |
| M27 | Mainz · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.04 | −11.07 |
| M28 | Freiburg · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −9.68 |
| M29 | Bayern Munich · Away12 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.34 | −9.34 |
| M30 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home20 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.74 | −8.61 |
| M31 | Hoffenheim · Away26 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.20 | −7.40 |
| M32 | Wolfsburg · Home3 May 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.60 | −6.80 |
| M33 | Leverkusen · Away11 May 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.63 | −5.17 |
| M34 | Holstein Kiel · Home17 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.37 | −4.80 |
| Total | 57 | −4.80 | |||