Points
60Points expected by the market
50.40Gap
+9.60Yield
+9.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.51 | +39.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 31 | +4.03 | +11.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 19 | +4.59 | +21.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −0.53 | −27.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.51 | +39.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 21 | +0.73 | −3.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.31 | +166.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.65 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +3.31 | +51.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +1.28 | −11.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | +0.12 | +9.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dortmund · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.89 |
| M2 | Hoffenheim · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +0.16 |
| M3 | Wolfsburg · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.76 |
| M4 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +2.90 |
| M5 | Holstein Kiel · Away29 Sep 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.28 | +4.18 |
| M6 | Bayern Munich · Home6 Oct 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.28 | +4.47 |
| M7 | Leverkusen · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.66 | +3.81 |
| M8 | Union Berlin · Away27 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +3.55 |
| M9 | Bochum · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 7-2 | 3 | +0.83 | +4.38 |
| M10 | Stuttgart · Away10 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.10 | +6.48 |
| M11 | Werder Bremen · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +7.62 |
| M12 | Heidenheim · Away1 Dec 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +8.88 |
| M13 | Augsburg · Home7 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.08 | +7.80 |
| M14 | RB Leipzig · Away15 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +6.58 |
| M15 | Mainz · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.65 | +4.93 |
| M16 | St Pauli · Away11 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +6.32 |
| M17 | Freiburg · Home14 Jan 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +7.40 |
| M18 | Dortmund · Home17 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +9.10 |
| M19 | Hoffenheim · Away26 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | +8.47 |
| M20 | Wolfsburg · Home2 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | +7.81 |
| M21 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away8 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | +7.46 |
| M22 | Holstein Kiel · Home16 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.68 | +8.14 |
| M23 | Bayern Munich · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.43 | +7.71 |
| M24 | Leverkusen · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.93 | +6.77 |
| M25 | Union Berlin · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.72 | +5.06 |
| M26 | Bochum · Away16 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +6.66 |
| M27 | Stuttgart · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +8.28 |
| M28 | Werder Bremen · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | +7.03 |
| M29 | Heidenheim · Home13 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +8.16 |
| M30 | Augsburg · Away20 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | +7.83 |
| M31 | RB Leipzig · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +9.17 |
| M32 | Mainz · Away4 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +8.91 |
| M33 | St Pauli · Home11 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.05 | +7.85 |
| M34 | Freiburg · Away17 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +9.60 |
| Total | 60 | +9.60 | |||