Points
55Points expected by the market
45.77Gap
+9.23Yield
+7.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 22 | +3.59 | +29.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 26 | +7.51 | +33.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 4 | −2.69 | −59.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 19 | +2.25 | +20.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.73 | −54.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.57 | +81.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.34 | +104.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 21 | +9.24 | +82.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 1 | −4.26 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stuttgart · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.95 | +1.95 |
| M2 | Bayern Munich · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.35 | +1.60 |
| M3 | Bochum · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | +2.56 |
| M4 | Heidenheim · Away21 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +4.01 |
| M5 | St Pauli · Home28 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.05 | +1.96 |
| M6 | Werder Bremen · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +3.58 |
| M7 | Augsburg · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +4.61 |
| M8 | RB Leipzig · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.93 | +3.68 |
| M9 | Mainz · Home3 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.86 | +2.82 |
| M10 | Union Berlin · Away8 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | +2.60 |
| M11 | Dortmund · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.92 | +1.69 |
| M12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home30 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +3.01 |
| M13 | Hoffenheim · Away8 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +2.74 |
| M14 | Wolfsburg · Home13 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.47 | +4.20 |
| M15 | Leverkusen · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.56 | +3.64 |
| M16 | Holstein Kiel · Home11 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.82 | +4.47 |
| M17 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away14 Jan 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.85 | +3.61 |
| M18 | Stuttgart · Away18 Jan 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.75 | +2.86 |
| M19 | Bayern Munich · Home25 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.39 | +2.47 |
| M20 | Bochum · Away1 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +4.08 |
| M21 | Heidenheim · Home8 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +5.14 |
| M22 | St Pauli · Away15 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +6.91 |
| M23 | Werder Bremen · Home21 Feb 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +8.19 |
| M24 | Augsburg · Away2 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | +7.95 |
| M25 | RB Leipzig · Home8 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | +7.54 |
| M26 | Mainz · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.10 | +7.64 |
| M27 | Union Berlin · Home30 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | +5.90 |
| M28 | Dortmund · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.12 | +4.78 |
| M29 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +6.57 |
| M30 | Hoffenheim · Home19 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.25 | +7.81 |
| M31 | Wolfsburg · Away26 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +9.55 |
| M32 | Leverkusen · Home4 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | +9.37 |
| M33 | Holstein Kiel · Away10 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +10.72 |
| M34 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home17 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.49 | +9.23 |
| Total | 55 | +9.23 | |||