Points
29Points expected by the market
33.52Gap
−4.52Yield
−10.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.32 | +104.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 8 | −5.39 | −44.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 18 | −0.45 | −0.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.32 | +104.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −4.11 | −38.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 0 | −5.75 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.29 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 18 | +5.29 | +42.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | St Pauli · Away25 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +1.97 |
| M2 | Augsburg · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +3.51 |
| M3 | Dortmund · Away13 Sep 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.53 | +2.99 |
| M4 | Freiburg · Home21 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +1.82 |
| M5 | Mainz · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +3.90 |
| M6 | RB Leipzig · Home6 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | +3.06 |
| M7 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.99 | +2.07 |
| M8 | Hoffenheim · Home27 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | +1.72 |
| M9 | Holstein Kiel · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | +0.44 |
| M10 | Wolfsburg · Home10 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.28 | −0.85 |
| M11 | Leverkusen · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.35 | −1.20 |
| M12 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home1 Dec 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.00 | −2.20 |
| M13 | Bayern Munich · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.23 | −2.43 |
| M14 | Stuttgart · Home15 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −3.31 |
| M15 | Bochum · Away22 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −4.40 |
| M16 | Union Berlin · Home11 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −2.60 |
| M17 | Werder Bremen · Away15 Jan 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.12 | −2.48 |
| M18 | St Pauli · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −3.96 |
| M19 | Augsburg · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −4.96 |
| M20 | Dortmund · Home1 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −5.81 |
| M21 | Freiburg · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | −6.62 |
| M22 | Mainz · Home16 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −7.68 |
| M23 | RB Leipzig · Away23 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.53 | −7.15 |
| M24 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −8.49 |
| M25 | Hoffenheim · Away9 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −8.46 |
| M26 | Holstein Kiel · Home16 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.32 | −7.14 |
| M27 | Wolfsburg · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.17 | −4.97 |
| M28 | Leverkusen · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | −5.65 |
| M29 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away13 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −6.53 |
| M30 | Bayern Munich · Home19 Apr 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.45 | −6.98 |
| M31 | Stuttgart · Away25 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.34 | −4.63 |
| M32 | Bochum · Home2 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | −5.12 |
| M33 | Union Berlin · Away10 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.95 | −3.18 |
| M34 | Werder Bremen · Home17 May 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.35 | −4.52 |
| Total | 29 | −4.52 | |||