Points
32Points expected by the market
40.04Gap
−8.04Yield
−46.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | −0.60 | −21.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 19 | −2.72 | −30.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 6 | −4.72 | −71.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | −0.60 | −21.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −3.77 | −42.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.42 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +1.05 | −11.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 6 | −2.29 | −63.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Holstein Kiel · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.01 | +1.01 |
| M2 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.84 | +0.17 |
| M3 | Leverkusen · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.61 | −0.44 |
| M4 | Union Berlin · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −1.38 |
| M5 | Werder Bremen · Home29 Sep 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.51 | −2.89 |
| M6 | Stuttgart · Away6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.48 | −2.41 |
| M7 | Bochum · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.92 | −1.50 |
| M8 | Heidenheim · Away27 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | −1.88 |
| M9 | St Pauli · Home2 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.76 | −3.63 |
| M10 | Augsburg · Away10 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.09 | −3.72 |
| M11 | RB Leipzig · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.86 | −1.86 |
| M12 | Mainz · Away1 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −2.92 |
| M13 | Freiburg · Home8 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −3.36 |
| M14 | Dortmund · Away15 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.46 | −2.90 |
| M15 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −4.42 |
| M16 | Wolfsburg · Home11 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −5.92 |
| M17 | Bayern Munich · Away15 Jan 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.23 | −6.15 |
| M18 | Holstein Kiel · Away18 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.55 | −4.60 |
| M19 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home26 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.12 | −4.72 |
| M20 | Leverkusen · Away2 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.28 | −5.00 |
| M21 | Union Berlin · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.50 | −6.50 |
| M22 | Werder Bremen · Away16 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.03 | −4.48 |
| M23 | Stuttgart · Home23 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −4.57 |
| M24 | Bochum · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −2.84 |
| M25 | Heidenheim · Home9 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | −3.61 |
| M26 | St Pauli · Away14 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −4.78 |
| M27 | Augsburg · Home29 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −5.27 |
| M28 | RB Leipzig · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −6.10 |
| M29 | Mainz · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −4.55 |
| M30 | Freiburg · Away19 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −5.54 |
| M31 | Dortmund · Home26 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −6.51 |
| M32 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away3 May 2025 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.25 | −6.76 |
| M33 | Wolfsburg · Away9 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | −7.19 |
| M34 | Bayern Munich · Home17 May 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.85 | −8.04 |
| Total | 32 | −8.04 | |||