Points
25Points expected by the market
27.85Gap
−2.85Yield
−26.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −2.52 | −15.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 15 | −0.33 | −31.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −2.52 | −15.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −0.75 | −7.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 11 | +0.42 | −40.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hoffenheim · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −0.80 |
| M2 | Wolfsburg · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −2.03 |
| M3 | Bayern Munich · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.36 | −2.39 |
| M4 | Bochum · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.06 | −2.33 |
| M5 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home29 Sep 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.03 | −3.36 |
| M6 | Leverkusen · Away5 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.81 | −2.55 |
| M7 | Union Berlin · Home20 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −3.60 |
| M8 | Stuttgart · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.37 | −3.97 |
| M9 | Heidenheim · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −2.40 |
| M10 | Werder Bremen · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −3.18 |
| M11 | Mainz · Home24 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −4.36 |
| M12 | St Pauli · Away29 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.79 | −5.15 |
| M13 | RB Leipzig · Home7 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.65 | −5.80 |
| M14 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.61 | −6.41 |
| M15 | Augsburg · Home21 Dec 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.89 | −4.53 |
| M16 | Freiburg · Away11 Jan 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.63 | −5.15 |
| M17 | Dortmund · Home14 Jan 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.36 | −2.79 |
| M18 | Hoffenheim · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −4.07 |
| M19 | Wolfsburg · Away24 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.35 | −3.72 |
| M20 | Bayern Munich · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.12 | −3.83 |
| M21 | Bochum · Home9 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | −4.35 |
| M22 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away16 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.51 | −4.86 |
| M23 | Leverkusen · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.33 | −5.20 |
| M24 | Union Berlin · Away2 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.28 | −2.92 |
| M25 | Stuttgart · Home8 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.32 | −2.60 |
| M26 | Heidenheim · Away16 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −3.66 |
| M27 | Werder Bremen · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −4.83 |
| M28 | Mainz · Away5 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.40 | −4.43 |
| M29 | St Pauli · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −5.54 |
| M30 | RB Leipzig · Away19 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.35 | −5.19 |
| M31 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.61 | −3.57 |
| M32 | Augsburg · Away4 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.08 | −1.49 |
| M33 | Freiburg · Home10 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −2.58 |
| M34 | Dortmund · Away17 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.27 | −2.85 |
| Total | 25 | −2.85 | |||