Points
69Points expected by the market
68.87Gap
+0.13Yield
−16.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | 40 | −0.34 | −7.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 22 | +1.32 | −6.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −1.03 | −55.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.18 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 32 | +0.99 | +0.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.94 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.59 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 8 | −1.33 | −34.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 21 | +4.27 | +14.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +0.57 | −25.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.18 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away23 Aug 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.99 | +0.99 |
| M2 | RB Leipzig · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.94 | −0.95 |
| M3 | Hoffenheim · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.80 | −0.15 |
| M4 | Wolfsburg · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.59 | +0.44 |
| M5 | Bayern Munich · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.62 |
| M6 | Holstein Kiel · Home5 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.73 | −1.12 |
| M7 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.86 | −0.26 |
| M8 | Werder Bremen · Away26 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.17 | −1.43 |
| M9 | Stuttgart · Home1 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.00 | −2.43 |
| M10 | Bochum · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.43 | −3.86 |
| M11 | Heidenheim · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.49 | −3.37 |
| M12 | Union Berlin · Away30 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | −2.20 |
| M13 | St Pauli · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.60 | −1.60 |
| M14 | Augsburg · Away14 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.95 | −0.65 |
| M15 | Freiburg · Home21 Dec 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.75 | +0.11 |
| M16 | Dortmund · Away10 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.29 | +1.40 |
| M17 | Mainz · Home14 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +2.10 |
| M18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.58 | +2.68 |
| M19 | RB Leipzig · Away25 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | +2.02 |
| M20 | Hoffenheim · Home2 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.38 | +2.40 |
| M21 | Wolfsburg · Away8 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | +1.77 |
| M22 | Bayern Munich · Home15 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | +1.55 |
| M23 | Holstein Kiel · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.47 | +2.03 |
| M24 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +3.21 |
| M25 | Werder Bremen · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.33 | +0.88 |
| M26 | Stuttgart · Away16 Mar 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.32 |
| M27 | Bochum · Home28 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.51 | +2.83 |
| M28 | Heidenheim · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +3.73 |
| M29 | Union Berlin · Home12 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.28 | +2.45 |
| M30 | St Pauli · Away20 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.93 | +1.52 |
| M31 | Augsburg · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +2.38 |
| M32 | Freiburg · Away4 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.55 | +1.83 |
| M33 | Dortmund · Home11 May 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.38 | +0.45 |
| M34 | Mainz · Away17 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.13 |
| Total | 69 | +0.13 | |||