Points
52Points expected by the market
45.41Gap
+6.59Yield
+22.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.21 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 19 | −0.22 | −11.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 21 | +5.19 | +50.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 11 | +2.82 | +38.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.21 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 13 | −2.98 | −39.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.41 | −19.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 6 | +3.34 | +232.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.76 | +111.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 15 | +4.78 | +85.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −0.51 | −44.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Union Berlin · Home24 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −0.67 |
| M2 | Stuttgart · Away31 Aug 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.48 |
| M3 | Werder Bremen · Home15 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −2.08 |
| M4 | Augsburg · Away20 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.76 | −0.32 |
| M5 | Heidenheim · Home28 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.82 | −2.13 |
| M6 | St Pauli · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −0.25 |
| M7 | RB Leipzig · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −1.23 |
| M8 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home25 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −1.75 |
| M9 | Freiburg · Away3 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | −1.63 |
| M10 | Dortmund · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +0.36 |
| M11 | Holstein Kiel · Away24 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +1.82 |
| M12 | Hoffenheim · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +3.15 |
| M13 | Wolfsburg · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.08 | +2.07 |
| M14 | Bayern Munich · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.32 | +4.39 |
| M15 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.91 | +6.31 |
| M16 | Bochum · Home11 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +7.34 |
| M17 | Leverkusen · Away14 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.52 | +6.83 |
| M18 | Union Berlin · Away19 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | +5.46 |
| M19 | Stuttgart · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +7.30 |
| M20 | Werder Bremen · Away31 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | +6.07 |
| M21 | Augsburg · Home8 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.86 | +5.22 |
| M22 | Heidenheim · Away16 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +6.55 |
| M23 | St Pauli · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +7.65 |
| M24 | RB Leipzig · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.00 | +9.65 |
| M25 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away7 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +11.27 |
| M26 | Freiburg · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.83 | +10.45 |
| M27 | Dortmund · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.81 | +9.63 |
| M28 | Holstein Kiel · Home5 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.21 | +8.43 |
| M29 | Hoffenheim · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | +7.15 |
| M30 | Wolfsburg · Home19 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | +6.47 |
| M31 | Bayern Munich · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.41 | +6.06 |
| M32 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home4 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +5.59 |
| M33 | Bochum · Away10 May 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +7.02 |
| M34 | Leverkusen · Home17 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | +6.59 |
| Total | 52 | +6.59 | |||