Points
51Points expected by the market
54.81Gap
−3.81Yield
−21.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 9 | −2.32 | −46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 24 | −1.82 | −13.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 13 | −0.42 | −26.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | +0.75 | −6.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 6 | −3.18 | −69.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 16 | −0.95 | −5.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.15 | +149.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 2 | +0.02 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.86 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.87 | −28.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −3.57 | −69.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.73 | +55.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bochum · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.51 | +0.51 |
| M2 | Leverkusen · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.16 | +2.67 |
| M3 | Union Berlin · Home14 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.17 | +1.51 |
| M4 | St Pauli · Away22 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.97 | +0.53 |
| M5 | Augsburg · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +1.42 |
| M6 | Heidenheim · Away6 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +2.49 |
| M7 | Mainz · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +3.71 |
| M8 | Freiburg · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +4.88 |
| M9 | Dortmund · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +3.70 |
| M10 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.97 | +2.73 |
| M11 | Hoffenheim · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.60 | +1.13 |
| M12 | Wolfsburg · Home30 Nov 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.89 | −0.76 |
| M13 | Holstein Kiel · Away7 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +0.09 |
| M14 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home15 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.57 |
| M15 | Bayern Munich · Away20 Dec 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.37 | +1.19 |
| M16 | Werder Bremen · Home12 Jan 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.23 | +2.43 |
| M17 | Stuttgart · Away15 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +1.36 |
| M18 | Bochum · Away18 Jan 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.60 | +0.77 |
| M19 | Leverkusen · Home25 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.69 |
| M20 | Union Berlin · Away1 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | +0.19 |
| M21 | St Pauli · Home9 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +1.23 |
| M22 | Augsburg · Away14 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | +0.74 |
| M23 | Heidenheim · Home23 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.36 | −0.62 |
| M24 | Mainz · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.75 | −2.36 |
| M25 | Freiburg · Away8 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −2.66 |
| M26 | Dortmund · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −0.99 |
| M27 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −2.47 |
| M28 | Hoffenheim · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.06 | −1.41 |
| M29 | Wolfsburg · Away11 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.56 | +0.15 |
| M30 | Holstein Kiel · Home19 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.16 | −1.01 |
| M31 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.10 | −2.11 |
| M32 | Bayern Munich · Home3 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.09 | −2.01 |
| M33 | Werder Bremen · Away10 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | −2.09 |
| M34 | Stuttgart · Home17 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.72 | −3.81 |
| Total | 51 | −3.81 | |||