Points
32Points expected by the market
37.67Gap
−5.67Yield
−18.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 7 | −3.39 | −36.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 11 | −2.68 | −23.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 14 | +0.40 | −9.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 4 | −4.77 | −66.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −3.15 | −41.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −0.87 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.39 | +114.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.47 | +49.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 12 | +1.27 | +15.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Heidenheim · Home25 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.70 | −1.70 |
| M2 | Union Berlin · Away30 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −2.68 |
| M3 | Augsburg · Away15 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −3.72 |
| M4 | RB Leipzig · Home22 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.21 | −3.51 |
| M5 | Freiburg · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.28 | −1.24 |
| M6 | Mainz · Home5 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.60 | −2.84 |
| M7 | Dortmund · Away18 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.45 | −3.29 |
| M8 | Wolfsburg · Home26 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | −3.70 |
| M9 | Hoffenheim · Away2 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.01 | −1.69 |
| M10 | Bayern Munich · Home9 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.33 | −2.02 |
| M11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away24 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −2.98 |
| M12 | Holstein Kiel · Home29 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.05 | −1.93 |
| M13 | Leverkusen · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.43 | −2.37 |
| M14 | Werder Bremen · Home14 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −3.66 |
| M15 | Stuttgart · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.36 | −1.31 |
| M16 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home11 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −2.41 |
| M17 | Bochum · Away15 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −3.70 |
| M18 | Heidenheim · Away18 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −1.94 |
| M19 | Union Berlin · Home26 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −0.45 |
| M20 | Augsburg · Home1 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −1.09 |
| M21 | RB Leipzig · Away9 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −1.89 |
| M22 | Freiburg · Home15 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −3.35 |
| M23 | Mainz · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −4.18 |
| M24 | Dortmund · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −5.11 |
| M25 | Wolfsburg · Away8 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −5.00 |
| M26 | Hoffenheim · Home14 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −3.54 |
| M27 | Bayern Munich · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.23 | −3.77 |
| M28 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home6 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −4.30 |
| M29 | Holstein Kiel · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −2.91 |
| M30 | Leverkusen · Home20 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | −2.73 |
| M31 | Werder Bremen · Away27 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −2.76 |
| M32 | Stuttgart · Home3 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −4.07 |
| M33 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away11 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.27 | −3.79 |
| M34 | Bochum · Home17 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.88 | −5.67 |
| Total | 32 | −5.67 | |||