Points
50Points expected by the market
56.38Gap
−6.38Yield
−11.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 7 | −4.47 | −49.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 22 | −6.03 | −28.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 17 | +3.30 | +33.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.82 | −9.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 7 | −4.47 | −49.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 13 | −4.25 | −22.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.34 | +15.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.88 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.77 | −39.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +2.96 | +37.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.70 | +20.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Freiburg · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.70 | −1.70 |
| M2 | Mainz · Home31 Aug 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.96 | −2.66 |
| M3 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.57 | −1.09 |
| M4 | Dortmund · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +0.40 |
| M5 | Wolfsburg · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.66 | −0.26 |
| M6 | Hoffenheim · Home6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.32 | −1.58 |
| M7 | Bayern Munich · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.47 | −2.05 |
| M8 | Holstein Kiel · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.50 | −1.55 |
| M9 | Leverkusen · Away1 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.21 | −1.34 |
| M10 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home10 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.86 | −3.20 |
| M11 | Bochum · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.65 | −2.54 |
| M12 | Werder Bremen · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | −2.89 |
| M13 | Union Berlin · Home6 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.21 | −1.68 |
| M14 | Heidenheim · Away15 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.12 | −0.56 |
| M15 | St Pauli · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.15 | −2.71 |
| M16 | Augsburg · Away12 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −1.46 |
| M17 | RB Leipzig · Home15 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | −0.15 |
| M18 | Freiburg · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +0.82 |
| M19 | Mainz · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −0.74 |
| M20 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home1 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.95 | −2.69 |
| M21 | Dortmund · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.96 | −0.73 |
| M22 | Wolfsburg · Home15 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.03 | −2.76 |
| M23 | Hoffenheim · Away23 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −3.42 |
| M24 | Bayern Munich · Home28 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −4.30 |
| M25 | Holstein Kiel · Away8 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.11 | −5.42 |
| M26 | Leverkusen · Home16 Mar 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.16 | −6.58 |
| M27 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | −7.94 |
| M28 | Bochum · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −6.27 |
| M29 | Werder Bremen · Home13 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.88 | −8.15 |
| M30 | Union Berlin · Away19 Apr 2025 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.52 | −8.67 |
| M31 | Heidenheim · Home25 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.15 | −10.82 |
| M32 | St Pauli · Away3 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −9.24 |
| M33 | Augsburg · Home11 May 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.93 | −8.31 |
| M34 | RB Leipzig · Away17 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.94 | −6.38 |
| Total | 50 | −6.38 | |||