Points
40Points expected by the market
41.60Gap
−1.60Yield
−12.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 9 | −5.20 | −26.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 15 | −1.85 | −37.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 16 | +5.45 | +20.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 6 | −6.52 | −45.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 11 | +1.59 | −27.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.57 | +23.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.32 | +105.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 4 | −3.44 | −49.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 12 | +3.88 | +19.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Mainz · Away24 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.04 |
| M2 | St Pauli · Home30 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +1.21 |
| M3 | RB Leipzig · Away14 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.37 | +1.58 |
| M4 | Hoffenheim · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +2.77 |
| M5 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | +1.63 |
| M6 | Dortmund · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +3.59 |
| M7 | Holstein Kiel · Away20 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +4.92 |
| M8 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home27 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +4.47 |
| M9 | Bayern Munich · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.27 | +4.20 |
| M10 | Freiburg · Home8 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | +3.71 |
| M11 | Wolfsburg · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | +2.62 |
| M12 | Leverkusen · Home30 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | +1.73 |
| M13 | Stuttgart · Away6 Dec 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.94 | +0.79 |
| M14 | Bochum · Home14 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.99 | −1.20 |
| M15 | Werder Bremen · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.35 |
| M16 | Heidenheim · Away11 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −3.87 |
| M17 | Augsburg · Home15 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −5.50 |
| M18 | Mainz · Home19 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −3.83 |
| M19 | St Pauli · Away26 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −5.02 |
| M20 | RB Leipzig · Home1 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −5.23 |
| M21 | Hoffenheim · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −3.46 |
| M22 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home15 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −5.07 |
| M23 | Dortmund · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.66 | −5.72 |
| M24 | Holstein Kiel · Home2 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.06 | −7.78 |
| M25 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | −5.80 |
| M26 | Bayern Munich · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.51 | −5.29 |
| M27 | Freiburg · Away30 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.02 | −3.27 |
| M28 | Wolfsburg · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −1.80 |
| M29 | Leverkusen · Away12 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.47 | −1.33 |
| M30 | Stuttgart · Home19 Apr 2025 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.20 | −1.54 |
| M31 | Bochum · Away27 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −1.76 |
| M32 | Werder Bremen · Home3 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −1.96 |
| M33 | Heidenheim · Home10 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.68 | −3.64 |
| M34 | Augsburg · Away17 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | −1.60 |
| Total | 40 | −1.60 | |||