Points
51Points expected by the market
43.68Gap
+7.32Yield
+24.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 15 | −1.05 | −17.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 24 | +4.75 | +30.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 12 | +3.62 | +52.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 9 | −3.81 | −54.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | −0.04 | −0.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.12 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.76 | +111.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 14 | +4.78 | +61.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 10 | +3.74 | +109.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Augsburg · Away24 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.29 |
| M2 | Dortmund · Home31 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | 0.00 | −0.29 |
| M3 | Mainz · Away15 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +1.57 |
| M4 | Bayern Munich · Home21 Sep 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.48 | +1.09 |
| M5 | Hoffenheim · Away29 Sep 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.77 | +2.86 |
| M6 | Freiburg · Home5 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | +1.52 |
| M7 | Wolfsburg · Away20 Oct 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.94 | +3.46 |
| M8 | Leverkusen · Home26 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.36 | +3.82 |
| M9 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away3 Nov 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.21 | +2.61 |
| M10 | Holstein Kiel · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +3.61 |
| M11 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | +2.71 |
| M12 | Stuttgart · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | +2.32 |
| M13 | Bochum · Away7 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +3.65 |
| M14 | St Pauli · Away14 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +5.24 |
| M15 | Union Berlin · Home21 Dec 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +6.68 |
| M16 | RB Leipzig · Away12 Jan 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.98 | +5.69 |
| M17 | Heidenheim · Home15 Jan 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.88 | +4.81 |
| M18 | Augsburg · Home19 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.75 | +3.06 |
| M19 | Dortmund · Away25 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.31 | +3.37 |
| M20 | Mainz · Home31 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +4.87 |
| M21 | Bayern Munich · Away7 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.22 | +4.65 |
| M22 | Hoffenheim · Home16 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.78 | +2.88 |
| M23 | Freiburg · Away21 Feb 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.01 | +1.87 |
| M24 | Wolfsburg · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +0.65 |
| M25 | Leverkusen · Away8 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.50 | +3.15 |
| M26 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home15 Mar 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.55 | +1.61 |
| M27 | Holstein Kiel · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +3.04 |
| M28 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +4.55 |
| M29 | Stuttgart · Away13 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.10 | +6.66 |
| M30 | Bochum · Home19 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +7.64 |
| M31 | St Pauli · Home27 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | +6.94 |
| M32 | Union Berlin · Away3 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | +6.41 |
| M33 | RB Leipzig · Home10 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | +5.72 |
| M34 | Heidenheim · Away17 May 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +7.32 |
| Total | 51 | +7.32 | |||