Points
43Points expected by the market
43.95Gap
−0.95Yield
−7.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.16 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 12 | −2.12 | −22.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 21 | −0.03 | −5.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 9 | +2.35 | +10.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.16 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 12 | −2.12 | −22.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 2 | −5.63 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.74 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 19 | +5.60 | +52.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 8 | +3.09 | +42.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bayern Munich · Home25 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.66 | −0.66 |
| M2 | Holstein Kiel · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +0.84 |
| M3 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −0.48 |
| M4 | Leverkusen · Away22 Sep 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.44 | −0.92 |
| M5 | Stuttgart · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.08 | −1.00 |
| M6 | Bochum · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +0.46 |
| M7 | Werder Bremen · Home20 Oct 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.69 | −1.23 |
| M8 | St Pauli · Away26 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | −1.54 |
| M9 | Augsburg · Home2 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −2.19 |
| M10 | Heidenheim · Away10 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.58 | −0.61 |
| M11 | Union Berlin · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +0.77 |
| M12 | RB Leipzig · Away30 Nov 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +2.14 | +2.90 |
| M13 | Mainz · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.36 | +4.27 |
| M14 | Freiburg · Away13 Dec 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.19 | +3.08 |
| M15 | Dortmund · Home22 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.16 | +1.92 |
| M16 | Hoffenheim · Away11 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +3.70 |
| M17 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home14 Jan 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +4.94 |
| M18 | Bayern Munich · Away18 Jan 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.27 | +4.66 |
| M19 | Holstein Kiel · Home24 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.16 | +3.51 |
| M20 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away2 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | +3.43 |
| M21 | Leverkusen · Home8 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +3.35 |
| M22 | Stuttgart · Away15 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.25 | +5.60 |
| M23 | Bochum · Home22 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | +4.61 |
| M24 | Werder Bremen · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +6.11 |
| M25 | St Pauli · Home8 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +5.27 |
| M26 | Augsburg · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | +4.02 |
| M27 | Heidenheim · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.93 | +2.09 |
| M28 | Union Berlin · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +0.91 |
| M29 | RB Leipzig · Home11 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −0.39 |
| M30 | Mainz · Away19 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.45 |
| M31 | Freiburg · Home26 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −1.92 |
| M32 | Dortmund · Away3 May 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.45 | −2.37 |
| M33 | Hoffenheim · Home9 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | −2.68 |
| M34 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away17 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −0.95 |
| Total | 43 | −0.95 | |||