Points
44Points expected by the market
46.69Gap
−2.69Yield
−33.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 21 | +0.69 | −3.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 23 | +0.08 | −33.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 0 | −3.46 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 20 | +1.51 | +5.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 5 | −2.18 | −63.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.59 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.83 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +2.26 | −19.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −2.87 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Werder Bremen · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +0.95 |
| M2 | Hoffenheim · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +2.52 |
| M3 | Leverkusen · Away12 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.16 | +1.36 |
| M4 | Union Berlin · Home21 Sep 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.97 | −0.61 |
| M5 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 6-4 | 3 | +1.49 | +0.88 |
| M6 | Bayern Munich · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.59 | +0.29 |
| M7 | Freiburg · Away19 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.03 |
| M8 | St Pauli · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +1.03 |
| M9 | Heidenheim · Away1 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | +0.20 |
| M10 | Mainz · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +1.42 |
| M11 | FC Koln · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.57 | +2.99 |
| M12 | Wolfsburg · Home30 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | +2.28 |
| M13 | RB Leipzig · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.89 | +1.39 |
| M14 | Augsburg · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +2.59 |
| M15 | Hamburg · Away20 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +2.30 |
| M16 | Dortmund · Home9 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.11 | +2.19 |
| M17 | Stuttgart · Away13 Jan 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.85 | +1.34 |
| M18 | Werder Bremen · Away16 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.36 | +0.98 |
| M19 | Hoffenheim · Home24 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −0.22 |
| M20 | Leverkusen · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.32 |
| M21 | Union Berlin · Away6 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −1.45 |
| M22 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.40 | −0.05 |
| M23 | Bayern Munich · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.23 | −0.28 |
| M24 | Freiburg · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +1.18 |
| M25 | St Pauli · Away8 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.87 |
| M26 | Heidenheim · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +1.90 |
| M27 | Mainz · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | +0.74 |
| M28 | FC Koln · Home5 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.74 | +0.01 |
| M29 | Wolfsburg · Away11 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.67 |
| M30 | RB Leipzig · Home18 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.21 | +0.45 |
| M31 | Augsburg · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.15 |
| M32 | Hamburg · Home2 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.92 | −1.77 |
| M33 | Dortmund · Away8 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.67 |
| M34 | Stuttgart · Home16 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | −2.69 |
| Total | 44 | −2.69 | |||