Points
47Points expected by the market
45.70Gap
+1.30Yield
−12.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 22 | +2.50 | +18.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 24 | +4.07 | +12.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 1 | −5.26 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 22 | +4.35 | +30.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 9 | +2.09 | +1.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.76 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.85 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +1.98 | +17.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 0 | −4.50 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Augsburg · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.73 | −1.73 |
| M2 | FC Koln · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.32 | −3.05 |
| M3 | Stuttgart · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.65 | −1.40 |
| M4 | Werder Bremen · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +0.32 |
| M5 | Hoffenheim · Home28 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.20 |
| M6 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away5 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.54 |
| M7 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home19 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.96 |
| M8 | Leverkusen · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −1.99 |
| M9 | Union Berlin · Away1 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | −2.31 |
| M10 | St Pauli · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | −1.17 |
| M11 | Bayern Munich · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 2-6 | 0 | −0.31 | −1.48 |
| M12 | Mainz · Home30 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −0.36 |
| M13 | Heidenheim · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.85 | −2.21 |
| M14 | Dortmund · Home14 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −2.26 |
| M15 | Wolfsburg · Away20 Dec 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.73 | −0.53 |
| M16 | Hamburg · Home10 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +0.61 |
| M17 | RB Leipzig · Away14 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −0.26 |
| M18 | Augsburg · Away18 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.58 |
| M19 | FC Koln · Home25 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +0.74 |
| M20 | Stuttgart · Away1 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | −0.08 |
| M21 | Werder Bremen · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +1.30 |
| M22 | Hoffenheim · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.86 | +0.44 |
| M23 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.79 |
| M24 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away1 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +0.60 |
| M25 | Leverkusen · Home7 Mar 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.36 |
| M26 | Union Berlin · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.76 | −1.40 |
| M27 | St Pauli · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | +0.29 |
| M28 | Bayern Munich · Home4 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −0.43 |
| M29 | Mainz · Away12 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +1.44 |
| M30 | Heidenheim · Home19 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +2.47 |
| M31 | Dortmund · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.62 | +1.85 |
| M32 | Wolfsburg · Home3 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +1.22 |
| M33 | Hamburg · Away10 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.52 | −0.30 |
| M34 | RB Leipzig · Home16 May 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.30 |
| Total | 47 | +1.30 | |||