Points
61Points expected by the market
52.52Gap
+8.48Yield
+11.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.28 | −26.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 33 | +1.98 | +3.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 21 | +6.49 | +33.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | +0.29 | +6.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.28 | −26.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 22 | +1.98 | +14.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.90 | +67.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.58 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | 0.00 | −14.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 15 | +4.59 | +20.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.87 | +41.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Leverkusen · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.11 | +2.11 |
| M2 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home30 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.78 |
| M3 | Union Berlin · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.59 | +2.37 |
| M4 | Bayern Munich · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.58 | +1.79 |
| M5 | Freiburg · Away28 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +1.59 |
| M6 | FC Koln · Home3 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | −0.12 |
| M7 | St Pauli · Away19 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +1.51 |
| M8 | Heidenheim · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.98 | +2.49 |
| M9 | Wolfsburg · Away2 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.55 | +4.04 |
| M10 | RB Leipzig · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +5.74 |
| M11 | Mainz · Away21 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +5.42 |
| M12 | Augsburg · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +6.53 |
| M13 | Dortmund · Away7 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.81 | +5.71 |
| M14 | Hamburg · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +6.81 |
| M15 | Stuttgart · Away20 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.06 | +6.74 |
| M16 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home14 Jan 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +8.01 |
| M17 | Leverkusen · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +9.54 |
| M18 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away24 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +11.00 |
| M19 | Werder Bremen · Away27 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +12.28 |
| M20 | Union Berlin · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +13.47 |
| M21 | Bayern Munich · Away8 Feb 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.42 | +13.04 |
| M22 | Freiburg · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +14.15 |
| M23 | FC Koln · Away21 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | +13.48 |
| M24 | St Pauli · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.09 | +11.38 |
| M25 | Heidenheim · Away7 Mar 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.93 | +12.31 |
| M26 | Wolfsburg · Home14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.19 | +11.13 |
| M27 | RB Leipzig · Away20 Mar 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.05 | +10.08 |
| M28 | Mainz · Home4 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.90 | +8.18 |
| M29 | Augsburg · Away10 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.70 | +7.48 |
| M30 | Dortmund · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +8.95 |
| M31 | Hamburg · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +10.04 |
| M32 | Stuttgart · Home2 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.53 | +9.51 |
| M33 | Werder Bremen · Home9 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +10.41 |
| M34 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away16 May 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.94 | +8.48 |
| Total | 61 | +8.48 | |||