Points
65Points expected by the market
56.89Gap
+8.11Yield
+6.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +3.95 | +39.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 42 | +9.38 | +32.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −4.00 | −34.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.22 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +3.95 | +39.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 23 | +2.58 | +11.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.90 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 19 | +6.80 | +64.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −4.00 | −34.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.32 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bayern Munich · Away22 Aug 2025 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.42 | −0.42 |
| M2 | Heidenheim · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +0.45 |
| M3 | Mainz · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +2.19 |
| M4 | FC Koln · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +3.43 |
| M5 | Wolfsburg · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +5.04 |
| M6 | Dortmund · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | +5.14 |
| M7 | Hamburg · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +6.00 |
| M8 | Augsburg · Away25 Oct 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +7.37 |
| M9 | Stuttgart · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +8.77 |
| M10 | Hoffenheim · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.45 | +7.32 |
| M11 | Werder Bremen · Home23 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +8.25 |
| M12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away28 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | +7.75 |
| M13 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +8.88 |
| M14 | Union Berlin · Away12 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.50 | +7.38 |
| M15 | Leverkusen · Home20 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.62 | +5.75 |
| M16 | Freiburg · Home14 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +6.86 |
| M17 | Bayern Munich · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.90 | +5.95 |
| M18 | Heidenheim · Away24 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +7.00 |
| M19 | St Pauli · Away27 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | +6.12 |
| M20 | Mainz · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.06 | +4.06 |
| M21 | FC Koln · Away8 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +5.40 |
| M22 | Wolfsburg · Home15 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.07 | +4.33 |
| M23 | Dortmund · Home21 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | +3.66 |
| M24 | Hamburg · Away1 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +4.90 |
| M25 | Augsburg · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.71 | +5.61 |
| M26 | Stuttgart · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | +4.27 |
| M27 | Hoffenheim · Home20 Mar 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +5.55 |
| M28 | Werder Bremen · Away4 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +6.78 |
| M29 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +7.65 |
| M30 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +9.11 |
| M31 | Union Berlin · Home24 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +10.03 |
| M32 | Leverkusen · Away2 May 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.19 | +8.84 |
| M33 | St Pauli · Home9 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.62 | +9.46 |
| M34 | Freiburg · Away16 May 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.35 | +8.11 |
| Total | 65 | +8.11 | |||