Points
26Points expected by the market
36.38Gap
−10.38Yield
−39.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.58 | +98.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 9 | −9.59 | −59.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 11 | −3.36 | −39.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.58 | +98.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 6 | −8.88 | −75.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 5 | +1.83 | +19.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −0.71 | −1.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 6 | −5.20 | −56.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dortmund · Home23 Aug 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.04 |
| M2 | Hamburg · Away29 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.79 |
| M3 | Augsburg · Home14 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +3.18 |
| M4 | Stuttgart · Away19 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +2.21 |
| M5 | Leverkusen · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +0.98 |
| M6 | Werder Bremen · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −0.26 |
| M7 | Hoffenheim · Home19 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −1.60 |
| M8 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −2.44 |
| M9 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home1 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.50 | −3.94 |
| M10 | Freiburg · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −4.82 |
| M11 | Union Berlin · Home23 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −6.21 |
| M12 | Bayern Munich · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.24 | −6.45 |
| M13 | FC Koln · Away6 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −6.48 |
| M14 | Heidenheim · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | −5.28 |
| M15 | Mainz · Away21 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | −5.28 |
| M16 | Wolfsburg · Away14 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −6.20 |
| M17 | Dortmund · Away17 Jan 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.46 | −6.66 |
| M18 | Hamburg · Home23 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | −6.98 |
| M19 | RB Leipzig · Home27 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | −6.84 |
| M20 | Augsburg · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −7.89 |
| M21 | Stuttgart · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.16 | −5.73 |
| M22 | Leverkusen · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.68 | −6.41 |
| M23 | Werder Bremen · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −4.78 |
| M24 | Hoffenheim · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.31 | −2.46 |
| M25 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home8 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | −2.86 |
| M26 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away13 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −3.82 |
| M27 | Freiburg · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −5.19 |
| M28 | Union Berlin · Away5 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −5.22 |
| M29 | Bayern Munich · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.51 | −5.73 |
| M30 | FC Koln · Home17 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −6.02 |
| M31 | Heidenheim · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −7.24 |
| M32 | Mainz · Home3 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −8.55 |
| M33 | RB Leipzig · Away9 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.47 | −9.02 |
| M34 | Wolfsburg · Home16 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −10.38 |
| Total | 26 | −10.38 | |||