Points
39Points expected by the market
40.35Gap
−1.35Yield
−0.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 4 | −6.23 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 21 | +0.05 | +3.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 14 | +4.83 | +42.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 4 | −6.23 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +1.99 | +20.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.65 | +95.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −1.95 | −18.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 10 | +2.18 | +32.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stuttgart · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | +2.03 |
| M2 | Dortmund · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.61 | +1.42 |
| M3 | Hoffenheim · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.31 | +0.11 |
| M4 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away21 Sep 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.20 | +2.31 |
| M5 | Hamburg · Home28 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | +1.61 |
| M6 | Leverkusen · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | +0.77 |
| M7 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home17 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +2.22 |
| M8 | Werder Bremen · Away24 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | +1.00 |
| M9 | Freiburg · Home1 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | +0.62 |
| M10 | Bayern Munich · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.62 | +1.24 |
| M11 | St Pauli · Away23 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +2.95 |
| M12 | Heidenheim · Home29 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.04 | +0.91 |
| M13 | Wolfsburg · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −0.13 |
| M14 | RB Leipzig · Home12 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.65 |
| M15 | FC Koln · Away20 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +3.36 |
| M16 | Mainz · Home10 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | +2.72 |
| M17 | Augsburg · Away15 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +2.41 |
| M18 | Stuttgart · Away18 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.25 | +2.66 |
| M19 | Dortmund · Home24 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +1.49 |
| M20 | Hoffenheim · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.93 | +0.57 |
| M21 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home6 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −0.03 |
| M22 | Hamburg · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.22 |
| M23 | Leverkusen · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +0.58 |
| M24 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −0.64 |
| M25 | Werder Bremen · Home8 Mar 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.48 | −2.13 |
| M26 | Freiburg · Away15 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | −0.11 |
| M27 | Bayern Munich · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.29 | −0.40 |
| M28 | St Pauli · Home5 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −1.08 |
| M29 | Heidenheim · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −2.49 |
| M30 | Wolfsburg · Home18 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −4.07 |
| M31 | RB Leipzig · Away24 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −4.78 |
| M32 | FC Koln · Home2 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | −5.14 |
| M33 | Mainz · Away10 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.13 | −3.00 |
| M34 | Augsburg · Home16 May 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.65 | −1.35 |
| Total | 39 | −1.35 | |||