Points
32Points expected by the market
40.17Gap
−8.17Yield
−43.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.77 | −7.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 18 | −2.87 | −15.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 3 | −6.08 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.77 | −7.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.75 | −34.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.58 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −0.12 | −0.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 2 | −3.50 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.74 | −0.74 |
| M2 | Leverkusen · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.78 |
| M3 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +1.06 |
| M4 | Freiburg · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.46 | −0.40 |
| M5 | Bayern Munich · Away26 Sep 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.24 | −0.64 |
| M6 | St Pauli · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.87 |
| M7 | Heidenheim · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | +0.47 |
| M8 | Union Berlin · Home24 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +1.96 |
| M9 | Mainz · Away1 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +1.97 |
| M10 | Wolfsburg · Home7 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +3.39 |
| M11 | RB Leipzig · Away23 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.73 | +2.66 |
| M12 | FC Koln · Home29 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +2.11 |
| M13 | Hamburg · Away7 Dec 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.26 | +0.85 |
| M14 | Stuttgart · Home14 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.26 | −0.41 |
| M15 | Augsburg · Away20 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.58 |
| M16 | Dortmund · Away13 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.60 | −1.18 |
| M17 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home16 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.37 | −1.55 |
| M18 | Leverkusen · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.74 | −2.29 |
| M19 | Hoffenheim · Home27 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −3.32 |
| M20 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home31 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −3.90 |
| M21 | Freiburg · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −5.00 |
| M22 | Bayern Munich · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.52 | −5.52 |
| M23 | St Pauli · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −6.85 |
| M24 | Heidenheim · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.01 | −5.84 |
| M25 | Union Berlin · Away8 Mar 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.78 | −4.06 |
| M26 | Mainz · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −5.58 |
| M27 | Wolfsburg · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −3.85 |
| M28 | RB Leipzig · Home4 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −4.85 |
| M29 | FC Koln · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −6.06 |
| M30 | Hamburg · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.17 | −4.89 |
| M31 | Stuttgart · Away26 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | −4.62 |
| M32 | Augsburg · Home2 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.70 | −6.33 |
| M33 | Hoffenheim · Away9 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | −7.04 |
| M34 | Dortmund · Home16 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −8.17 |
| Total | 32 | −8.17 | |||