Points
17Points expected by the market
17.50Gap
−0.50Yield
−13.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 17 | −0.50 | −13.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +1.29 | +15.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 8 | −1.79 | −35.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stuttgart · Home28 Aug 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.54 | +0.54 |
| M2 | Schalke 04 · Away5 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.50 | −0.96 |
| M3 | Elversberg · Away13 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.47 | −0.49 |
| M4 | Union Berlin · Home18 Sep 2026 | W 7-0 | 3 | +0.18 | −0.32 |
| M5 | Augsburg · Away10 Oct 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.58 | −1.90 |
| M6 | RB Leipzig · Home17 Oct 2026 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.57 | −1.32 |
| M7 | Freiburg · Away25 Oct 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.82 | −0.50 |
| Total | 17 | −0.50 | |||