Points
13Points expected by the market
10.26Gap
+2.74Yield
−0.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 12 | +4.55 | +74.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.36 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.45 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.27 | +68.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.64 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.28 | +92.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.36 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.80 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Werder Bremen · Home30 Aug 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +1.16 |
| M2 | Paderborn · Away5 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +2.44 |
| M3 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home12 Sep 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +3.53 |
| M4 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Away19 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | +3.17 |
| M5 | Schalke 04 · Home11 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +4.19 |
| M6 | Leverkusen · Away18 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +3.39 |
| M7 | Bayern Munich · Home25 Oct 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.64 | +2.74 |
| Total | 13 | +2.74 | |||