Points
10Points expected by the market
11.48Gap
−1.48Yield
−1.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 4 | −3.38 | −47.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.89 | +58.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 1 | −4.78 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.20 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.40 | +111.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.09 | +138.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Paderborn · Home29 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.08 | −1.08 |
| M2 | Hamburg · Away6 Sep 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +0.46 |
| M3 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Home12 Sep 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.85 | −1.39 |
| M4 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away19 Sep 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.40 | +0.02 |
| M5 | Leverkusen · Home10 Oct 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.18 |
| M6 | Schalke 04 · Away17 Oct 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +0.37 |
| M7 | Werder Bremen · Home24 Oct 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.85 | −1.48 |
| Total | 10 | −1.48 | |||