Points
49Points expected by the market
53.32Gap
−4.32Yield
−8.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.83 | +8.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 28 | 31 | −5.68 | −19.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 14 | +0.53 | +8.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.83 | +8.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 24 | +0.95 | −2.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.72 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 7 | −6.63 | −45.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 12 | +2.25 | +44.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fulham · Home3 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +1.89 |
| M2 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away10 Aug 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | +0.80 |
| M3 | Charlton · Home17 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | +0.22 |
| M4 | Birmingham · Away20 Aug 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −0.95 |
| M5 | Luton · Home24 Aug 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.50 | −2.45 |
| M6 | Wigan · Away31 Aug 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.06 | −2.51 |
| M7 | Leeds · Home15 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −3.15 |
| M8 | Nottingham Forest · Away21 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.82 | −3.97 |
| M9 | Brentford · Home29 Sep 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −4.96 |
| M10 | Derby · Home2 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | −5.26 |
| M11 | Preston · Away5 Oct 2019 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.76 | −6.02 |
| M12 | Swansea · Home19 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −6.07 |
| M13 | West Bromwich Albion · Away22 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.49 | −5.58 |
| M14 | Huddersfield · Away26 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −6.71 |
| M15 | Bristol City · Home1 Nov 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | −7.09 |
| M16 | Stoke · Home9 Nov 2019 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.27 | −8.36 |
| M17 | Blackburn · Away23 Nov 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −9.25 |
| M18 | Middlesbrough · Away27 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −10.42 |
| M19 | Hull · Home30 Nov 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.75 | −8.68 |
| M20 | Cardiff · Away7 Dec 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −9.57 |
| M21 | Reading · Home11 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −10.01 |
| M22 | Queens Park Rangers · Home14 Dec 2019 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.65 | −8.35 |
| M23 | Millwall · Away21 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.01 | −6.35 |
| M24 | West Bromwich Albion · Home26 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −6.39 |
| M25 | Swansea · Away29 Dec 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | −6.40 |
| M26 | Derby · Away2 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −7.62 |
| M27 | Huddersfield · Home11 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −6.21 |
| M28 | Bristol City · Away18 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −7.35 |
| M29 | Preston · Home21 Jan 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −8.76 |
| M30 | Charlton · Away1 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −10.15 |
| M31 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home8 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −10.47 |
| M32 | Birmingham · Home11 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −11.86 |
| M33 | Fulham · Away15 Feb 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.34 | −9.52 |
| M34 | Middlesbrough · Home22 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −7.94 |
| M35 | Hull · Away26 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | −6.29 |
| M36 | Reading · Away29 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −7.53 |
| M37 | Cardiff · Home7 Mar 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −9.02 |
| M38 | Queens Park Rangers · Away20 Jun 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −7.13 |
| M39 | Millwall · Home27 Jun 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | −7.48 |
| M40 | Blackburn · Home30 Jun 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −5.88 |
| M41 | Stoke · Away4 Jul 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.21 | −7.09 |
| M42 | Luton · Away7 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −7.57 |
| M43 | Wigan · Home11 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −7.86 |
| M44 | Leeds · Away16 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.47 | −8.33 |
| M45 | Nottingham Forest · Home19 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −6.72 |
| M46 | Brentford · Away22 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.41 | −4.32 |
| Total | 49 | −4.32 | |||