← Championship 2019-20

Birmingham

Season 2019-20 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLDLL

Points

Points expected by the market

57.37

Gap

−7.37

Yield

−26.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	4	4	6.83	−2.83	−52.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	25	35	34.20	+0.80	−2.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more	17	11	16.34	−5.34	−54.5%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	4	4	6.83	−2.83	−52.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	16	20	22.98	−2.98	−19.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	3	1	2.80	−1.80	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	15	11.23	+3.77	+27.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	14	10	13.54	−3.54	−44.8%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Brentford · Away3 Aug 2019	3 Aug 2019	W 1-0	4.03	0.98	3	+2.02	+2.02	+€3.03
M2	Bristol City · Home10 Aug 2019	10 Aug 2019	D 1-1	2.70	1.36	1	−0.36	+1.66	−€1.00
M3	Nottingham Forest · Away17 Aug 2019	17 Aug 2019	L 0-3	3.68	1.08	0	−1.08	+0.58	−€1.00
M4	Barnsley · Home20 Aug 2019	20 Aug 2019	W 2-0	2.28	1.54	3	+1.46	+2.04	+€1.28
M5	Swansea · Away25 Aug 2019	25 Aug 2019	L 0-3	4.53	0.89	0	−0.89	+1.15	−€1.00
M6	Stoke · Home31 Aug 2019	31 Aug 2019	W 2-1	2.96	1.28	3	+1.72	+2.87	+€1.96
M7	Charlton · Away14 Sep 2019	14 Sep 2019	W 1-0	3.16	1.20	3	+1.80	+4.67	+€2.16
M8	Preston · Home21 Sep 2019	21 Sep 2019	L 0-1	2.92	1.28	0	−1.28	+3.39	−€1.00
M9	Derby · Away28 Sep 2019	28 Sep 2019	L 2-3	3.27	1.18	0	−1.18	+2.21	−€1.00
M10	Wigan · Away1 Oct 2019	1 Oct 2019	L 0-1	3.02	1.25	0	−1.25	+0.96	−€1.00
M11	Middlesbrough · Home4 Oct 2019	4 Oct 2019	W 2-1	2.55	1.42	3	+1.58	+2.54	+€1.55
M12	Leeds · Away19 Oct 2019	19 Oct 2019	L 0-1	7.74	0.58	0	−0.58	+1.95	−€1.00
M13	Blackburn · Home22 Oct 2019	22 Oct 2019	W 1-0	2.43	1.46	3	+1.54	+3.49	+€1.43
M14	Luton · Home26 Oct 2019	26 Oct 2019	W 2-1	1.90	1.77	3	+1.23	+4.72	+€0.90
M15	Cardiff · Away2 Nov 2019	2 Nov 2019	L 2-4	3.75	1.06	0	−1.06	+3.66	−€1.00
M16	Fulham · Home9 Nov 2019	9 Nov 2019	L 0-1	2.81	1.30	0	−1.30	+2.36	−€1.00
M17	Huddersfield · Away23 Nov 2019	23 Nov 2019	D 1-1	2.77	1.34	1	−0.34	+2.02	−€1.00
M18	Sheffield Wednesday · Away27 Nov 2019	27 Nov 2019	D 1-1	4.31	0.94	1	+0.06	+2.08	−€1.00
M19	Millwall · Home30 Nov 2019	30 Nov 2019	D 1-1	2.31	1.54	1	−0.54	+1.54	−€1.00
M20	Reading · Away7 Dec 2019	7 Dec 2019	W 3-2	3.70	1.04	3	+1.96	+3.50	+€2.70
M21	Queens Park Rangers · Home11 Dec 2019	11 Dec 2019	L 0-2	2.36	1.48	0	−1.48	+2.02	−€1.00
M22	West Bromwich Albion · Home14 Dec 2019	14 Dec 2019	L 2-3	4.17	0.94	0	−0.94	+1.08	−€1.00
M23	Hull · Away21 Dec 2019	21 Dec 2019	L 0-3	3.90	1.00	0	−1.00	+0.08	−€1.00
M24	Blackburn · Away26 Dec 2019	26 Dec 2019	D 1-1	3.41	1.13	1	−0.13	−0.05	−€1.00
M25	Leeds · Home29 Dec 2019	29 Dec 2019	L 4-5	5.14	0.81	0	−0.81	−0.86	−€1.00
M26	Wigan · Home1 Jan 2020	1 Jan 2020	L 2-3	2.18	1.60	0	−1.60	−2.46	−€1.00
M27	Luton · Away11 Jan 2020	11 Jan 2020	W 2-1	2.35	1.48	3	+1.52	−0.93	+€1.35
M28	Cardiff · Home18 Jan 2020	18 Jan 2020	D 1-1	2.22	1.57	1	−0.57	−1.50	−€1.00
M29	Middlesbrough · Away21 Jan 2020	21 Jan 2020	D 1-1	3.61	1.07	1	−0.07	−1.57	−€1.00
M30	Nottingham Forest · Home1 Feb 2020	1 Feb 2020	W 2-1	2.64	1.38	3	+1.62	+0.06	+€1.64
M31	Bristol City · Away7 Feb 2020	7 Feb 2020	W 3-1	3.25	1.16	3	+1.84	+1.90	+€2.25
M32	Barnsley · Away11 Feb 2020	11 Feb 2020	W 1-0	2.67	1.34	3	+1.66	+3.56	+€1.67
M33	Brentford · Home15 Feb 2020	15 Feb 2020	D 1-1	3.72	1.05	1	−0.05	+3.51	−€1.00
M34	Sheffield Wednesday · Home22 Feb 2020	22 Feb 2020	D 3-3	2.26	1.56	1	−0.56	+2.95	−€1.00
M35	Millwall · Away26 Feb 2020	26 Feb 2020	D 0-0	3.55	1.10	1	−0.10	+2.85	−€1.00
M36	Queens Park Rangers · Away29 Feb 2020	29 Feb 2020	D 2-2	3.25	1.15	1	−0.15	+2.69	−€1.00
M37	Reading · Home7 Mar 2020	7 Mar 2020	L 1-3	2.02	1.69	0	−1.69	+1.01	−€1.00
M38	West Bromwich Albion · Away20 Jun 2020	20 Jun 2020	D 0-0	5.32	0.78	1	+0.22	+1.23	−€1.00
M39	Hull · Home27 Jun 2020	27 Jun 2020	D 3-3	1.90	1.77	1	−0.77	+0.45	−€1.00
M40	Huddersfield · Home1 Jul 2020	1 Jul 2020	L 0-3	2.46	1.45	0	−1.45	−1.00	−€1.00
M41	Fulham · Away4 Jul 2020	4 Jul 2020	L 0-1	4.74	0.87	0	−0.87	−1.88	−€1.00
M42	Swansea · Home8 Jul 2020	8 Jul 2020	L 1-3	2.78	1.32	0	−1.32	−3.19	−€1.00
M43	Stoke · Away12 Jul 2020	12 Jul 2020	L 0-2	3.62	1.08	0	−1.08	−4.27	−€1.00
M44	Charlton · Home15 Jul 2020	15 Jul 2020	D 1-1	2.42	1.47	1	−0.47	−4.75	−€1.00
M45	Preston · Away18 Jul 2020	18 Jul 2020	L 0-2	3.67	1.06	0	−1.06	−5.81	−€1.00
M46	Derby · Home22 Jul 2020	22 Jul 2020	L 1-3	2.20	1.57	0	−1.57	−7.37	−€1.00
Total					57.37	50	−7.37		−€12.08