Points
81Points expected by the market
81.22Gap
−0.22Yield
−2.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 9 | −0.01 | +3.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 28 | 52 | −1.10 | −7.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 20 | +1.66 | +15.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.77 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 9 | −0.01 | +3.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 34 | +0.97 | −1.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.13 | +23.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 18 | −2.07 | −17.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +0.53 | +13.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.77 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Birmingham · Home3 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −1.74 |
| M2 | Middlesbrough · Away10 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −0.02 |
| M3 | Hull · Home17 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | −0.89 |
| M4 | Leeds · Away21 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.65 |
| M5 | Charlton · Away24 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −3.13 |
| M6 | Derby · Home31 Aug 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.15 | −1.98 |
| M7 | Preston · Away14 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −3.38 |
| M8 | Stoke · Home21 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.80 | −4.18 |
| M9 | Barnsley · Away29 Sep 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.25 | −2.93 |
| M10 | Bristol City · Home2 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | −3.87 |
| M11 | Nottingham Forest · Away5 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −5.37 |
| M12 | Millwall · Home19 Oct 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.11 | −4.27 |
| M13 | Swansea · Away22 Oct 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −2.68 |
| M14 | Queens Park Rangers · Away28 Oct 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.52 | −1.17 |
| M15 | Huddersfield · Home2 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.13 | −3.29 |
| M16 | Wigan · Away9 Nov 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −1.86 |
| M17 | Reading · Home23 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −0.65 |
| M18 | Blackburn · Away27 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −2.15 |
| M19 | Luton · Home30 Nov 2019 | W 7-0 | 3 | +0.88 | −1.27 |
| M20 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away7 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −2.56 |
| M21 | Cardiff · Home11 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | −1.60 |
| M22 | Fulham · Home14 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −0.28 |
| M23 | West Bromwich Albion · Away21 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.43 |
| M24 | Swansea · Home26 Dec 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +0.57 |
| M25 | Millwall · Away29 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.66 | −1.09 |
| M26 | Bristol City · Away1 Jan 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +0.31 |
| M27 | Queens Park Rangers · Home11 Jan 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +1.30 |
| M28 | Huddersfield · Away18 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | +0.54 |
| M29 | Nottingham Forest · Home28 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.98 | −1.44 |
| M30 | Hull · Away1 Feb 2020 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.11 | −0.32 |
| M31 | Middlesbrough · Home8 Feb 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.89 | +0.57 |
| M32 | Leeds · Home11 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | +0.14 |
| M33 | Birmingham · Away15 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −0.53 |
| M34 | Blackburn · Home22 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.03 | −1.56 |
| M35 | Luton · Away25 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.05 | −3.62 |
| M36 | Cardiff · Away29 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | −4.25 |
| M37 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home7 Mar 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.94 | −3.30 |
| M38 | Fulham · Away20 Jun 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −1.71 |
| M39 | West Bromwich Albion · Home26 Jun 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −0.16 |
| M40 | Reading · Away30 Jun 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +0.82 |
| M41 | Wigan · Home4 Jul 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +1.68 |
| M42 | Charlton · Home7 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.63 | +2.31 |
| M43 | Derby · Away11 Jul 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +3.34 |
| M44 | Preston · Home15 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +4.06 |
| M45 | Stoke · Away18 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.06 | +2.00 |
| M46 | Barnsley · Home22 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.22 | −0.22 |
| Total | 81 | −0.22 | |||