Points
63Points expected by the market
57.11Gap
+5.89Yield
+10.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +3.61 | +25.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 21 | −6.98 | −37.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 25 | +9.26 | +61.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +3.61 | +25.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 13 | −4.79 | −45.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.08 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.18 | −23.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 24 | +10.34 | +82.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Leeds · Home4 Aug 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.11 |
| M2 | Birmingham · Away10 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −1.45 |
| M3 | Queens Park Rangers · Home17 Aug 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −0.09 |
| M4 | Derby · Away20 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | +1.90 |
| M5 | Hull · Away24 Aug 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +3.63 |
| M6 | Middlesbrough · Home31 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.61 | +3.02 |
| M7 | Stoke · Away14 Sep 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | +4.93 |
| M8 | Swansea · Home21 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | +4.59 |
| M9 | Preston · Away28 Sep 2019 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.01 | +4.60 |
| M10 | Brentford · Away2 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | +4.78 |
| M11 | Reading · Home5 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +6.13 |
| M12 | Luton · Away19 Oct 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.34 | +4.79 |
| M13 | Charlton · Home23 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +6.05 |
| M14 | Wigan · Home27 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.72 | +5.33 |
| M15 | Barnsley · Away1 Nov 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | +4.98 |
| M16 | Cardiff · Away10 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +6.93 |
| M17 | Nottingham Forest · Home23 Nov 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | +6.42 |
| M18 | West Bromwich Albion · Away27 Nov 2019 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.70 | +5.71 |
| M19 | Huddersfield · Home30 Nov 2019 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.46 | +7.17 |
| M20 | Fulham · Away7 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.20 | +9.38 |
| M21 | Millwall · Home10 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | +7.81 |
| M22 | Blackburn · Home14 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.60 | +6.21 |
| M23 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away22 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | +5.37 |
| M24 | Charlton · Away26 Dec 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.48 | +3.89 |
| M25 | Luton · Home29 Dec 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +5.05 |
| M26 | Brentford · Home1 Jan 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.11 | +3.94 |
| M27 | Wigan · Away11 Jan 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +5.84 |
| M28 | Barnsley · Home18 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +7.26 |
| M29 | Reading · Away28 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +9.09 |
| M30 | Queens Park Rangers · Away1 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +11.02 |
| M31 | Birmingham · Home7 Feb 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.56 | +9.46 |
| M32 | Derby · Home12 Feb 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.52 | +10.98 |
| M33 | Leeds · Away15 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.45 | +10.53 |
| M34 | West Bromwich Albion · Home22 Feb 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.00 | +9.53 |
| M35 | Huddersfield · Away25 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +8.43 |
| M36 | Millwall · Away29 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | +8.53 |
| M37 | Fulham · Home7 Mar 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +8.45 |
| M38 | Blackburn · Away20 Jun 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.16 | +7.29 |
| M39 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home28 Jun 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +6.02 |
| M40 | Nottingham Forest · Away1 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | +5.08 |
| M41 | Cardiff · Home4 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | +3.87 |
| M42 | Hull · Home8 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +5.40 |
| M43 | Middlesbrough · Away11 Jul 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.06 | +7.45 |
| M44 | Stoke · Home15 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +7.12 |
| M45 | Swansea · Away18 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | +6.17 |
| M46 | Preston · Home22 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +5.89 |
| Total | 63 | +5.89 | |||