Points
73Points expected by the market
63.58Gap
+9.42Yield
+8.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.83 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 21 | +1.98 | +8.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 38 | +3.73 | −4.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 11 | +2.88 | +41.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.83 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 21 | +1.98 | +8.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +0.90 | −15.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.06 | +145.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 24 | +2.83 | +2.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +0.82 | +12.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wigan · Away3 Aug 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.46 | −1.46 |
| M2 | Luton · Home10 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | −0.22 |
| M3 | Reading · Away18 Aug 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.71 |
| M4 | Huddersfield · Home21 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | −0.38 |
| M5 | Blackburn · Away24 Aug 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.56 |
| M6 | Fulham · Home30 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.86 |
| M7 | Derby · Away13 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −1.16 |
| M8 | Middlesbrough · Home21 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +0.15 |
| M9 | Hull · Away28 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.12 |
| M10 | Queens Park Rangers · Home2 Oct 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +1.21 |
| M11 | West Bromwich Albion · Away5 Oct 2019 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.87 | +0.34 |
| M12 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home18 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.20 |
| M13 | Millwall · Away22 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.54 |
| M14 | Swansea · Away27 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.78 |
| M15 | Birmingham · Home2 Nov 2019 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.36 | −0.41 |
| M16 | Bristol City · Home10 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | −2.09 |
| M17 | Charlton · Away23 Nov 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | −2.54 |
| M18 | Stoke · Home26 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −1.06 |
| M19 | Nottingham Forest · Away30 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +0.84 |
| M20 | Barnsley · Home7 Dec 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.14 | +1.98 |
| M21 | Brentford · Away11 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | +1.26 |
| M22 | Leeds · Away14 Dec 2019 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.50 | +1.76 |
| M23 | Preston · Home21 Dec 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | +1.26 |
| M24 | Millwall · Home26 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +0.78 |
| M25 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away29 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.08 | +2.85 |
| M26 | Queens Park Rangers · Away1 Jan 2020 | L 1-6 | 0 | −1.14 | +1.72 |
| M27 | Swansea · Home12 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | +1.28 |
| M28 | Birmingham · Away18 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +1.12 |
| M29 | West Bromwich Albion · Home28 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +2.87 |
| M30 | Reading · Home31 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | +2.25 |
| M31 | Luton · Away8 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +3.73 |
| M32 | Huddersfield · Away12 Feb 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +5.55 |
| M33 | Wigan · Home15 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.80 | +4.75 |
| M34 | Stoke · Away22 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +3.68 |
| M35 | Nottingham Forest · Home25 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | +2.14 |
| M36 | Brentford · Home29 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | +2.05 |
| M37 | Barnsley · Away7 Mar 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +3.82 |
| M38 | Leeds · Home21 Jun 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.15 | +5.97 |
| M39 | Preston · Away27 Jun 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +7.75 |
| M40 | Charlton · Home30 Jun 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | +6.86 |
| M41 | Bristol City · Away4 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +8.36 |
| M42 | Blackburn · Home7 Jul 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.73 | +6.63 |
| M43 | Fulham · Away10 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +5.64 |
| M44 | Derby · Home14 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +7.11 |
| M45 | Middlesbrough · Away18 Jul 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +8.60 |
| M46 | Hull · Home22 Jul 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +9.42 |
| Total | 73 | +9.42 | |||