Points
48Points expected by the market
47.46Gap
+0.54Yield
−7.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 29 | +1.06 | +2.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 19 | −0.51 | −16.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 24 | +1.94 | +15.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +0.61 | +1.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −0.88 | −39.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 13 | −1.12 | −22.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Blackburn · Away3 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.20 | +2.20 |
| M2 | Stoke · Home10 Aug 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +3.96 |
| M3 | Barnsley · Away17 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | +3.81 |
| M4 | Nottingham Forest · Home21 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +3.55 |
| M5 | Brentford · Home24 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +5.31 |
| M6 | Reading · Away31 Aug 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +7.26 |
| M7 | Birmingham · Home14 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | +5.76 |
| M8 | Wigan · Away21 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +4.57 |
| M9 | Leeds · Home28 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.31 | +6.88 |
| M10 | Swansea · Home2 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +5.78 |
| M11 | Fulham · Away5 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.44 | +6.21 |
| M12 | Derby · Home19 Oct 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +7.82 |
| M13 | Bristol City · Away23 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +6.83 |
| M14 | West Bromwich Albion · Away26 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.43 | +7.26 |
| M15 | Preston · Home3 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | +6.01 |
| M16 | Millwall · Away9 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +5.00 |
| M17 | Cardiff · Home23 Nov 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | +4.74 |
| M18 | Luton · Away26 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | +3.65 |
| M19 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home30 Nov 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.98 | +2.68 |
| M20 | Middlesbrough · Away7 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | +1.71 |
| M21 | Huddersfield · Home10 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.32 |
| M22 | Hull · Home13 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.32 |
| M23 | Queens Park Rangers · Away21 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.22 | +0.54 |
| M24 | Bristol City · Home26 Dec 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.76 | +2.30 |
| M25 | Derby · Away30 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | +1.40 |
| M26 | Swansea · Away2 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.62 | +0.78 |
| M27 | West Bromwich Albion · Home11 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.25 | +1.03 |
| M28 | Preston · Away18 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | +0.39 |
| M29 | Fulham · Home22 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.50 |
| M30 | Barnsley · Home1 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +2.17 |
| M31 | Stoke · Away8 Feb 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.75 | +1.42 |
| M32 | Nottingham Forest · Away11 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | +3.58 |
| M33 | Blackburn · Home15 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | +2.30 |
| M34 | Luton · Home22 Feb 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +3.72 |
| M35 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away26 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | +2.91 |
| M36 | Huddersfield · Away29 Feb 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.79 | +2.12 |
| M37 | Middlesbrough · Home7 Mar 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +0.94 |
| M38 | Hull · Away20 Jun 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +2.71 |
| M39 | Queens Park Rangers · Home27 Jun 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +4.51 |
| M40 | Cardiff · Away30 Jun 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.15 | +4.66 |
| M41 | Millwall · Home3 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | +3.57 |
| M42 | Brentford · Away7 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.45 | +3.11 |
| M43 | Reading · Home11 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | +1.65 |
| M44 | Birmingham · Away15 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +1.43 |
| M45 | Wigan · Home18 Jul 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.12 | +1.30 |
| M46 | Leeds · Away22 Jul 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.76 | +0.54 |
| Total | 48 | +0.54 | |||