Points
81Points expected by the market
75.97Gap
+5.03Yield
+4.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 7 | −1.66 | −26.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 23 | 44 | +1.93 | +3.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 29 | +6.66 | +32.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.89 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 7 | −1.66 | −26.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 37 | +5.28 | +27.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.62 | +71.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 7 | −3.35 | −65.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 26 | +6.04 | +26.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.89 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Barnsley · Away3 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | −1.62 |
| M2 | Blackburn · Home10 Aug 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.11 | −0.51 |
| M3 | Huddersfield · Away16 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +0.97 |
| M4 | Millwall · Home21 Aug 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +2.01 |
| M5 | Nottingham Forest · Home24 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.99 | +0.01 |
| M6 | Cardiff · Away30 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.42 |
| M7 | West Bromwich Albion · Home14 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | −1.05 |
| M8 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away21 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −1.45 |
| M9 | Wigan · Home27 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.85 | −0.60 |
| M10 | Reading · Away1 Oct 2019 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +0.75 |
| M11 | Charlton · Home5 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.24 | −0.48 |
| M12 | Stoke · Away19 Oct 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | −1.93 |
| M13 | Luton · Home23 Oct 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.84 | −1.09 |
| M14 | Middlesbrough · Away26 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | −1.79 |
| M15 | Hull · Home2 Nov 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.08 | −3.88 |
| M16 | Birmingham · Away9 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −2.29 |
| M17 | Queens Park Rangers · Home22 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.15 | −1.13 |
| M18 | Derby · Home26 Nov 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.00 | −0.14 |
| M19 | Swansea · Away29 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +1.48 |
| M20 | Bristol City · Home7 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.97 | −0.49 |
| M21 | Preston · Away10 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.92 |
| M22 | Brentford · Away14 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −2.98 |
| M23 | Leeds · Home21 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.92 | −1.06 |
| M24 | Luton · Away26 Dec 2019 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.89 | −1.95 |
| M25 | Stoke · Home29 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −0.61 |
| M26 | Reading · Home1 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.85 | −2.46 |
| M27 | Hull · Away11 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −0.74 |
| M28 | Middlesbrough · Home17 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +0.45 |
| M29 | Charlton · Away22 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.85 | −0.40 |
| M30 | Huddersfield · Home1 Feb 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.98 | +0.58 |
| M31 | Blackburn · Away8 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +2.17 |
| M32 | Millwall · Away12 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +1.68 |
| M33 | Barnsley · Home15 Feb 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.12 | −0.45 |
| M34 | Derby · Away21 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.87 |
| M35 | Swansea · Home26 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +0.25 |
| M36 | Preston · Home29 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +1.43 |
| M37 | Bristol City · Away7 Mar 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +0.79 |
| M38 | Brentford · Home20 Jun 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −0.51 |
| M39 | Leeds · Away27 Jun 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −1.32 |
| M40 | Queens Park Rangers · Away30 Jun 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +0.10 |
| M41 | Birmingham · Home4 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +1.25 |
| M42 | Nottingham Forest · Away7 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +2.90 |
| M43 | Cardiff · Home10 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +4.18 |
| M44 | West Bromwich Albion · Away14 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | +4.15 |
| M45 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home18 Jul 2020 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.29 | +5.45 |
| M46 | Wigan · Away22 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +5.03 |
| Total | 81 | +5.03 | |||