Points
51Points expected by the market
56.50Gap
−5.50Yield
−7.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −1.09 | −4.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 27 | 33 | −3.18 | −20.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 12 | −1.24 | +14.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −1.09 | −4.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 20 | −2.64 | −23.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.56 | +83.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −0.53 | −16.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 8 | −2.80 | −3.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Derby · Home5 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.62 | −1.62 |
| M2 | Queens Park Rangers · Away10 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −1.91 |
| M3 | Fulham · Home16 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −3.10 |
| M4 | Cardiff · Away21 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −4.14 |
| M5 | Reading · Home24 Aug 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −5.68 |
| M6 | Luton · Away31 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −6.72 |
| M7 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home15 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −8.02 |
| M8 | West Bromwich Albion · Away22 Sep 2019 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.70 | −8.71 |
| M9 | Millwall · Home28 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −9.06 |
| M10 | Stoke · Away1 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.15 | −6.91 |
| M11 | Hull · Home5 Oct 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −5.23 |
| M12 | Blackburn · Away19 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | −5.25 |
| M13 | Middlesbrough · Home23 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −5.77 |
| M14 | Barnsley · Home26 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −4.36 |
| M15 | Brentford · Away2 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.35 | −2.01 |
| M16 | Preston · Away9 Nov 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −2.97 |
| M17 | Birmingham · Home23 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −3.31 |
| M18 | Swansea · Home26 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −3.66 |
| M19 | Bristol City · Away30 Nov 2019 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.16 | −4.82 |
| M20 | Leeds · Home7 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −5.53 |
| M21 | Charlton · Away10 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −3.84 |
| M22 | Wigan · Away14 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −4.12 |
| M23 | Nottingham Forest · Home21 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | −2.56 |
| M24 | Middlesbrough · Away26 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −3.73 |
| M25 | Blackburn · Home29 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | −2.18 |
| M26 | Stoke · Home1 Jan 2020 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.32 | −3.50 |
| M27 | Barnsley · Away11 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −4.64 |
| M28 | Brentford · Home18 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.05 | −4.60 |
| M29 | Hull · Away28 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | −2.72 |
| M30 | Fulham · Away1 Feb 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −3.46 |
| M31 | Queens Park Rangers · Home8 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −2.01 |
| M32 | Cardiff · Home12 Feb 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.52 | −3.53 |
| M33 | Derby · Away15 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −3.56 |
| M34 | Swansea · Away22 Feb 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −4.64 |
| M35 | Bristol City · Home25 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −3.25 |
| M36 | Charlton · Home29 Feb 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.05 | −2.20 |
| M37 | Leeds · Away7 Mar 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.62 | −2.82 |
| M38 | Wigan · Home20 Jun 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −4.28 |
| M39 | Nottingham Forest · Away28 Jun 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −5.36 |
| M40 | Birmingham · Away1 Jul 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −3.60 |
| M41 | Preston · Home4 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | −4.01 |
| M42 | Reading · Away7 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | −4.37 |
| M43 | Luton · Home10 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.90 | −6.27 |
| M44 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away14 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | −6.63 |
| M45 | West Bromwich Albion · Home17 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.23 | −4.41 |
| M46 | Millwall · Away22 Jul 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.10 | −5.50 |
| Total | 51 | −5.50 | |||