Points
45Points expected by the market
54.90Gap
−9.90Yield
−22.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 11 | −0.67 | −12.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 24 | −6.57 | −12.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 10 | −2.66 | −39.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | +0.07 | +1.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 14 | −6.44 | −27.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.33 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.74 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −0.13 | +15.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 10 | −1.33 | −30.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Swansea · Away3 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −0.96 |
| M2 | Reading · Home10 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +0.35 |
| M3 | Brentford · Away17 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.47 |
| M4 | Blackburn · Home20 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −0.92 |
| M5 | Bristol City · Home24 Aug 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −2.38 |
| M6 | Millwall · Away31 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −2.46 |
| M7 | Wigan · Home14 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | −3.11 |
| M8 | Luton · Away21 Sep 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −1.26 |
| M9 | Cardiff · Home28 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | −1.71 |
| M10 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home1 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | −0.07 |
| M11 | Huddersfield · Away5 Oct 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.39 | −1.46 |
| M12 | Queens Park Rangers · Home19 Oct 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −2.88 |
| M13 | Nottingham Forest · Away23 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | −1.01 |
| M14 | Derby · Home26 Oct 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +0.40 |
| M15 | Fulham · Away2 Nov 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.30 | +2.70 |
| M16 | West Bromwich Albion · Home9 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +1.51 |
| M17 | Middlesbrough · Away24 Nov 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.22 | +1.29 |
| M18 | Preston · Home27 Nov 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +2.86 |
| M19 | Barnsley · Away30 Nov 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.49 | +1.37 |
| M20 | Stoke · Home7 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +2.95 |
| M21 | Leeds · Away10 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.56 | +2.39 |
| M22 | Charlton · Away13 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.74 | +1.65 |
| M23 | Birmingham · Home21 Dec 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +2.91 |
| M24 | Nottingham Forest · Home26 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.67 | +1.25 |
| M25 | Queens Park Rangers · Away29 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +2.94 |
| M26 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away1 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +4.93 |
| M27 | Fulham · Home11 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | +3.47 |
| M28 | Derby · Away18 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | +2.27 |
| M29 | Huddersfield · Home28 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | +0.69 |
| M30 | Brentford · Home1 Feb 2020 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.86 | −0.17 |
| M31 | Reading · Away8 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.09 |
| M32 | Blackburn · Away11 Feb 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −0.91 |
| M33 | Swansea · Home14 Feb 2020 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.21 | −1.11 |
| M34 | Preston · Away22 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −1.90 |
| M35 | Barnsley · Home26 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −3.27 |
| M36 | Leeds · Home29 Feb 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.47 | −3.74 |
| M37 | Stoke · Away7 Mar 2020 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.62 | −4.36 |
| M38 | Charlton · Home20 Jun 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −5.84 |
| M39 | Birmingham · Away27 Jun 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.05 | −5.79 |
| M40 | Middlesbrough · Home2 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | −3.97 |
| M41 | West Bromwich Albion · Away5 Jul 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.53 | −4.51 |
| M42 | Bristol City · Away8 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −5.75 |
| M43 | Millwall · Home11 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | −7.00 |
| M44 | Wigan · Away14 Jul 2020 | L 0-8 | 0 | −0.89 | −7.89 |
| M45 | Luton · Home18 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −9.28 |
| M46 | Cardiff · Away22 Jul 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.62 | −9.90 |
| Total | 45 | −9.90 | |||