Points
93Points expected by the market
92.48Gap
+0.52Yield
−3.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | 40 | +1.29 | −3.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 25 | 47 | −0.96 | +2.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.18 | −39.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 34 | −0.19 | −8.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | −0.01 | +3.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.48 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 31 | −0.95 | +1.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.18 | −39.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bristol City · Away4 Aug 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.39 |
| M2 | Nottingham Forest · Home10 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.06 | +0.33 |
| M3 | Wigan · Away17 Aug 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +1.37 |
| M4 | Brentford · Home21 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +2.37 |
| M5 | Stoke · Away24 Aug 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +3.70 |
| M6 | Swansea · Home31 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.02 | +1.68 |
| M7 | Barnsley · Away15 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +2.52 |
| M8 | Derby · Home21 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.19 | +1.34 |
| M9 | Charlton · Away28 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.10 | −0.76 |
| M10 | West Bromwich Albion · Home1 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +0.42 |
| M11 | Millwall · Away5 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.80 | −1.39 |
| M12 | Birmingham · Home19 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.80 | −0.59 |
| M13 | Preston · Away22 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −1.19 |
| M14 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away26 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | −1.77 |
| M15 | Queens Park Rangers · Home2 Nov 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.84 | −0.94 |
| M16 | Blackburn · Home9 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.80 | −0.14 |
| M17 | Luton · Away23 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +0.79 |
| M18 | Reading · Away26 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +1.89 |
| M19 | Middlesbrough · Home30 Nov 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +2.46 |
| M20 | Huddersfield · Away7 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +3.41 |
| M21 | Hull · Home10 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +4.17 |
| M22 | Cardiff · Home14 Dec 2019 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.31 | +2.86 |
| M23 | Fulham · Away21 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.66 | +1.19 |
| M24 | Preston · Home26 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.21 | −0.01 |
| M25 | Birmingham · Away29 Dec 2019 | W 5-4 | 3 | +1.06 | +1.05 |
| M26 | West Bromwich Albion · Away1 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +0.56 |
| M27 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home11 Jan 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.06 | −1.50 |
| M28 | Queens Park Rangers · Away18 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.97 | −3.47 |
| M29 | Millwall · Home28 Jan 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.90 | −2.56 |
| M30 | Wigan · Home1 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.32 | −4.88 |
| M31 | Nottingham Forest · Away8 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.80 | −6.69 |
| M32 | Brentford · Away11 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −6.98 |
| M33 | Bristol City · Home15 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.61 | −6.37 |
| M34 | Reading · Home22 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.65 | −5.72 |
| M35 | Middlesbrough · Away26 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −4.63 |
| M36 | Hull · Away29 Feb 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.64 | −3.99 |
| M37 | Huddersfield · Home7 Mar 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.83 | −3.17 |
| M38 | Cardiff · Away21 Jun 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.88 | −5.05 |
| M39 | Fulham · Home27 Jun 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −3.98 |
| M40 | Luton · Home30 Jun 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.43 | −5.42 |
| M41 | Blackburn · Away4 Jul 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.99 | −4.43 |
| M42 | Stoke · Home9 Jul 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.77 | −3.66 |
| M43 | Swansea · Away12 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −2.67 |
| M44 | Barnsley · Home16 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.65 | −2.02 |
| M45 | Derby · Away19 Jul 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.56 | −0.46 |
| M46 | Charlton · Home22 Jul 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +0.52 |
| Total | 93 | +0.52 | |||