← Championship 2019-20

Luton

Season 2019-20 · 46 matches played

Last 5DWDWW

Points

Points expected by the market

49.59

Gap

+1.41

Yield

+7.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	10	8.24	+1.76	+20.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	18	23	23.11	−0.11	−4.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	23	18	18.24	−0.24	+15.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	10	8.24	+1.76	+20.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	17	19.42	−2.42	−23.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	3	4	2.30	+1.70	+89.3%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	3	6	3.69	+2.31	+89.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	20	14	15.94	−1.94	+3.9%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Middlesbrough · Home2 Aug 2019	2 Aug 2019	D 3-3	2.26	1.55	1	−0.55	−0.55	−€1.00
M2	Cardiff · Away10 Aug 2019	10 Aug 2019	L 1-2	4.12	0.96	0	−0.96	−1.51	−€1.00
M3	West Bromwich Albion · Home17 Aug 2019	17 Aug 2019	L 1-2	2.70	1.34	0	−1.34	−2.85	−€1.00
M4	Sheffield Wednesday · Away20 Aug 2019	20 Aug 2019	L 0-1	5.02	0.82	0	−0.82	−3.67	−€1.00
M5	Barnsley · Away24 Aug 2019	24 Aug 2019	W 3-1	3.01	1.22	3	+1.78	−1.90	+€2.01
M6	Huddersfield · Home31 Aug 2019	31 Aug 2019	W 2-1	2.02	1.69	3	+1.31	−0.58	+€1.02
M7	Queens Park Rangers · Away14 Sep 2019	14 Sep 2019	L 2-3	3.65	1.05	0	−1.05	−1.63	−€1.00
M8	Hull · Home21 Sep 2019	21 Sep 2019	L 0-3	2.12	1.60	0	−1.60	−3.23	−€1.00
M9	Blackburn · Away28 Sep 2019	28 Sep 2019	W 2-1	5.22	0.77	3	+2.23	−1.01	+€4.22
M10	Millwall · Home2 Oct 2019	2 Oct 2019	D 1-1	2.55	1.41	1	−0.41	−1.42	−€1.00
M11	Derby · Away5 Oct 2019	5 Oct 2019	L 0-2	3.59	1.06	0	−1.06	−2.47	−€1.00
M12	Bristol City · Home19 Oct 2019	19 Oct 2019	W 3-0	2.56	1.39	3	+1.61	−0.86	+€1.56
M13	Fulham · Away23 Oct 2019	23 Oct 2019	L 2-3	6.79	0.63	0	−0.63	−1.49	−€1.00
M14	Birmingham · Away26 Oct 2019	26 Oct 2019	L 1-2	4.10	0.96	0	−0.96	−2.46	−€1.00
M15	Nottingham Forest · Home2 Nov 2019	2 Nov 2019	L 1-2	2.62	1.37	0	−1.37	−3.83	−€1.00
M16	Reading · Away9 Nov 2019	9 Nov 2019	L 0-3	4.48	0.89	0	−0.89	−4.71	−€1.00
M17	Leeds · Home23 Nov 2019	23 Nov 2019	L 1-2	5.88	0.71	0	−0.71	−5.42	−€1.00
M18	Charlton · Home26 Nov 2019	26 Nov 2019	W 2-1	2.06	1.65	3	+1.35	−4.06	+€1.06
M19	Brentford · Away30 Nov 2019	30 Nov 2019	L 0-7	6.35	0.67	0	−0.67	−4.73	−€1.00
M20	Wigan · Home7 Dec 2019	7 Dec 2019	W 2-1	2.47	1.43	3	+1.57	−3.16	+€1.47
M21	Stoke · Away10 Dec 2019	10 Dec 2019	L 0-3	4.93	0.83	0	−0.83	−3.99	−€1.00
M22	Preston · Away14 Dec 2019	14 Dec 2019	L 1-2	5.54	0.73	0	−0.73	−4.72	−€1.00
M23	Swansea · Home21 Dec 2019	21 Dec 2019	L 0-1	3.15	1.17	0	−1.17	−5.89	−€1.00
M24	Fulham · Home26 Dec 2019	26 Dec 2019	D 3-3	4.49	0.87	1	+0.13	−5.76	−€1.00
M25	Bristol City · Away29 Dec 2019	29 Dec 2019	L 0-3	4.28	0.91	0	−0.91	−6.67	−€1.00
M26	Millwall · Away1 Jan 2020	1 Jan 2020	L 1-3	5.20	0.80	0	−0.80	−7.48	−€1.00
M27	Birmingham · Home11 Jan 2020	11 Jan 2020	L 1-2	2.89	1.25	0	−1.25	−8.73	−€1.00
M28	Nottingham Forest · Away19 Jan 2020	19 Jan 2020	L 1-3	5.73	0.72	0	−0.72	−9.45	−€1.00
M29	Derby · Home28 Jan 2020	28 Jan 2020	W 3-2	3.09	1.19	3	+1.81	−7.64	+€2.09
M30	West Bromwich Albion · Away1 Feb 2020	1 Feb 2020	L 0-2	8.25	0.53	0	−0.53	−8.17	−€1.00
M31	Cardiff · Home8 Feb 2020	8 Feb 2020	L 0-1	3.06	1.20	0	−1.20	−9.37	−€1.00
M32	Sheffield Wednesday · Home12 Feb 2020	12 Feb 2020	W 1-0	3.37	1.12	3	+1.88	−7.49	+€2.37
M33	Middlesbrough · Away15 Feb 2020	15 Feb 2020	W 1-0	5.73	0.72	3	+2.28	−5.21	+€4.73
M34	Charlton · Away22 Feb 2020	22 Feb 2020	L 1-3	3.41	1.13	0	−1.13	−6.34	−€1.00
M35	Brentford · Home25 Feb 2020	25 Feb 2020	W 2-1	5.68	0.72	3	+2.28	−4.06	+€4.68
M36	Stoke · Home29 Feb 2020	29 Feb 2020	D 1-1	3.27	1.17	1	−0.17	−4.23	−€1.00
M37	Wigan · Away7 Mar 2020	7 Mar 2020	D 0-0	5.12	0.81	1	+0.19	−4.04	−€1.00
M38	Preston · Home20 Jun 2020	20 Jun 2020	D 1-1	3.31	1.15	1	−0.15	−4.19	−€1.00
M39	Swansea · Away27 Jun 2020	27 Jun 2020	W 1-0	4.88	0.83	3	+2.17	−2.02	+€3.88
M40	Leeds · Away30 Jun 2020	30 Jun 2020	D 1-1	11.71	0.40	1	+0.60	−1.43	−€1.00
M41	Reading · Home4 Jul 2020	4 Jul 2020	L 0-5	2.46	1.45	0	−1.45	−2.88	−€1.00
M42	Barnsley · Home7 Jul 2020	7 Jul 2020	D 1-1	3.04	1.23	1	−0.23	−3.11	−€1.00
M43	Huddersfield · Away10 Jul 2020	10 Jul 2020	W 2-0	4.95	0.84	3	+2.16	−0.94	+€3.95
M44	Queens Park Rangers · Home14 Jul 2020	14 Jul 2020	D 1-1	2.16	1.59	1	−0.59	−1.53	−€1.00
M45	Hull · Away18 Jul 2020	18 Jul 2020	W 1-0	2.66	1.34	3	+1.66	+0.13	+€1.66
M46	Blackburn · Home22 Jul 2020	22 Jul 2020	W 3-2	1.95	1.72	3	+1.28	+1.41	+€0.95
Total					49.59	51	+1.41		+€3.65