Points
68Points expected by the market
60.98Gap
+7.02Yield
+5.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 12 | −2.11 | −27.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 26 | 40 | +4.57 | +2.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 16 | +4.56 | +32.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 12 | −0.22 | −17.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 20 | +0.05 | −10.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 6 | +4.03 | +306.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.89 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 20 | +4.52 | +18.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 10 | +0.53 | −22.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Preston · Home3 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.53 |
| M2 | West Bromwich Albion · Away10 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | +1.60 |
| M3 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home17 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +3.21 |
| M4 | Fulham · Away21 Aug 2019 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.78 | +2.43 |
| M5 | Middlesbrough · Away24 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | +2.42 |
| M6 | Hull · Home31 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +1.79 |
| M7 | Blackburn · Away14 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +0.72 |
| M8 | Queens Park Rangers · Home21 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −0.57 |
| M9 | Huddersfield · Away28 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.91 |
| M10 | Luton · Away2 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −1.21 |
| M11 | Leeds · Home5 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | +0.86 |
| M12 | Brentford · Away19 Oct 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.83 | +0.03 |
| M13 | Cardiff · Home22 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.33 |
| M14 | Stoke · Home26 Oct 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +1.36 |
| M15 | Reading · Away2 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | +0.21 |
| M16 | Charlton · Home9 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +1.49 |
| M17 | Swansea · Away23 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.04 | +3.52 |
| M18 | Wigan · Home26 Nov 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.75 | +2.77 |
| M19 | Birmingham · Away30 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +2.61 |
| M20 | Nottingham Forest · Home6 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | +2.13 |
| M21 | Bristol City · Away10 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +3.99 |
| M22 | Derby · Away14 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +5.73 |
| M23 | Barnsley · Home21 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | +3.99 |
| M24 | Cardiff · Away26 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +3.78 |
| M25 | Brentford · Home29 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +5.73 |
| M26 | Luton · Home1 Jan 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +6.79 |
| M27 | Stoke · Away11 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | +6.74 |
| M28 | Reading · Home18 Jan 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +8.16 |
| M29 | Leeds · Away28 Jan 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.66 | +7.50 |
| M30 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away1 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | +7.40 |
| M31 | West Bromwich Albion · Home9 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.32 | +6.07 |
| M32 | Fulham · Home12 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +5.87 |
| M33 | Preston · Away15 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +7.79 |
| M34 | Wigan · Away22 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | +6.46 |
| M35 | Birmingham · Home26 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | +5.87 |
| M36 | Bristol City · Home29 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.82 | +5.04 |
| M37 | Nottingham Forest · Away6 Mar 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +6.86 |
| M38 | Derby · Home20 Jun 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.47 | +5.40 |
| M39 | Barnsley · Away27 Jun 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | +5.05 |
| M40 | Swansea · Home30 Jun 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +4.66 |
| M41 | Charlton · Away3 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +6.08 |
| M42 | Middlesbrough · Home8 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.57 | +4.51 |
| M43 | Hull · Away11 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +6.04 |
| M44 | Blackburn · Home14 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +7.52 |
| M45 | Queens Park Rangers · Away18 Jul 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.89 | +5.64 |
| M46 | Huddersfield · Home22 Jul 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +7.02 |
| Total | 68 | +7.02 | |||