Points
66Points expected by the market
64.50Gap
+1.50Yield
−7.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.86 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 23 | +0.19 | +1.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 36 | +2.40 | −3.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −1.95 | −48.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.86 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 23 | +0.19 | +1.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +2.96 | +32.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.95 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 22 | −0.56 | −20.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −0.99 | −39.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Millwall · Away3 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −1.23 |
| M2 | Wigan · Home10 Aug 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +0.16 |
| M3 | Swansea · Away17 Aug 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −0.93 |
| M4 | Stoke · Home21 Aug 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +0.66 |
| M5 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home24 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +2.21 |
| M6 | Nottingham Forest · Away31 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | +1.99 |
| M7 | Brentford · Home14 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +3.67 |
| M8 | Birmingham · Away21 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +5.25 |
| M9 | Bristol City · Home28 Sep 2019 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.74 | +4.51 |
| M10 | Middlesbrough · Away1 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +4.17 |
| M11 | Barnsley · Home5 Oct 2019 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +5.16 |
| M12 | Reading · Away19 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | +3.83 |
| M13 | Leeds · Home22 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +3.72 |
| M14 | Blackburn · Home26 Oct 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.38 | +5.10 |
| M15 | Charlton · Away3 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +6.65 |
| M16 | Huddersfield · Home9 Nov 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +7.90 |
| M17 | Derby · Away23 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | +6.49 |
| M18 | Hull · Away27 Nov 2019 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.29 | +5.19 |
| M19 | West Bromwich Albion · Home2 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | +4.24 |
| M20 | Queens Park Rangers · Away7 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | +3.09 |
| M21 | Fulham · Home10 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +4.80 |
| M22 | Luton · Home14 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +5.76 |
| M23 | Cardiff · Away21 Dec 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | +5.54 |
| M24 | Leeds · Away26 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.42 | +5.96 |
| M25 | Reading · Home29 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.74 | +4.21 |
| M26 | Middlesbrough · Home1 Jan 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.73 | +2.48 |
| M27 | Blackburn · Away11 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +2.16 |
| M28 | Charlton · Home18 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +3.02 |
| M29 | Barnsley · Away21 Jan 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +4.71 |
| M30 | Swansea · Home1 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | +4.03 |
| M31 | Wigan · Away8 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +5.66 |
| M32 | Stoke · Away12 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.91 | +7.57 |
| M33 | Millwall · Home15 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | +5.96 |
| M34 | Hull · Home22 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +6.98 |
| M35 | West Bromwich Albion · Away25 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | +6.19 |
| M36 | Fulham · Away29 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | +5.28 |
| M37 | Queens Park Rangers · Home7 Mar 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.66 | +3.62 |
| M38 | Luton · Away20 Jun 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +3.06 |
| M39 | Cardiff · Home27 Jun 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.47 | +1.59 |
| M40 | Derby · Home1 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | +0.17 |
| M41 | Huddersfield · Away4 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.11 |
| M42 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away8 Jul 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +1.68 |
| M43 | Nottingham Forest · Home11 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +1.13 |
| M44 | Brentford · Away15 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.53 | +0.60 |
| M45 | Birmingham · Home18 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +1.94 |
| M46 | Bristol City · Away22 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +1.50 |
| Total | 66 | +1.50 | |||