← Championship 2019-20

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Season 2019-20 · 46 matches played

Last 5DWLLL

Points

Points expected by the market

55.72

Gap

+0.28

Yield

−3.0%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	7	10.32	−3.32	−35.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	20	32	26.24	+5.76	+24.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more	20	17	19.16	−2.16	−20.4%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	7	10.32	−3.32	−35.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	13	18	17.79	+0.21	−2.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	0	3.64	−3.64	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	7	14	8.45	+5.55	+73.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more	16	17	15.53	+1.47	−0.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Sheffield Wednesday · Home3 Aug 2019	3 Aug 2019	L 1-3	2.72	1.35	0	−1.35	−1.35	−€1.00
M2	Hull · Away10 Aug 2019	10 Aug 2019	L 1-2	3.72	1.04	0	−1.04	−2.38	−€1.00
M3	Cardiff · Home18 Aug 2019	18 Aug 2019	W 3-0	3.03	1.23	3	+1.77	−0.61	+€2.03
M4	West Bromwich Albion · Away21 Aug 2019	21 Aug 2019	D 1-1	4.91	0.84	1	+0.16	−0.45	−€1.00
M5	Huddersfield · Away24 Aug 2019	24 Aug 2019	W 2-0	3.26	1.17	3	+1.83	+1.38	+€2.26
M6	Charlton · Home31 Aug 2019	31 Aug 2019	L 0-2	2.03	1.68	0	−1.68	−0.29	−€1.00
M7	Middlesbrough · Away14 Sep 2019	14 Sep 2019	L 0-1	3.59	1.07	0	−1.07	−1.37	−€1.00
M8	Blackburn · Home21 Sep 2019	21 Sep 2019	L 1-2	2.47	1.44	0	−1.44	−2.80	−€1.00
M9	Swansea · Away28 Sep 2019	28 Sep 2019	D 1-1	4.13	0.95	1	+0.05	−2.76	−€1.00
M10	Fulham · Home1 Oct 2019	1 Oct 2019	L 1-4	3.49	1.09	0	−1.09	−3.84	−€1.00
M11	Bristol City · Away5 Oct 2019	5 Oct 2019	L 0-1	3.54	1.08	0	−1.08	−4.93	−€1.00
M12	Preston · Home19 Oct 2019	19 Oct 2019	W 1-0	2.59	1.39	3	+1.61	−3.31	+€1.59
M13	Queens Park Rangers · Away22 Oct 2019	22 Oct 2019	D 2-2	3.65	1.04	1	−0.04	−3.35	−€1.00
M14	Millwall · Home2 Nov 2019	2 Nov 2019	W 2-1	2.25	1.56	3	+1.44	−1.91	+€1.25
M15	Luton · Home9 Nov 2019	9 Nov 2019	W 3-0	1.77	1.86	3	+1.14	−0.78	+€0.77
M16	Brentford · Away23 Nov 2019	23 Nov 2019	L 0-1	4.33	0.93	0	−0.93	−1.71	−€1.00
M17	Leeds · Home26 Nov 2019	26 Nov 2019	L 0-1	4.74	0.85	0	−0.85	−2.56	−€1.00
M18	Wigan · Away30 Nov 2019	30 Nov 2019	W 3-1	2.86	1.29	3	+1.71	−0.85	+€1.86
M19	Birmingham · Home7 Dec 2019	7 Dec 2019	L 2-3	2.01	1.69	0	−1.69	−2.54	−€1.00
M20	Barnsley · Away11 Dec 2019	11 Dec 2019	D 1-1	2.84	1.28	1	−0.28	−2.83	−€1.00
M21	Stoke · Away14 Dec 2019	14 Dec 2019	D 0-0	4.17	0.96	1	+0.04	−2.79	−€1.00
M22	Derby · Home21 Dec 2019	21 Dec 2019	W 3-0	2.09	1.64	3	+1.36	−1.43	+€1.09
M23	Queens Park Rangers · Home26 Dec 2019	26 Dec 2019	W 1-0	2.41	1.45	3	+1.55	+0.11	+€1.41
M24	Preston · Away29 Dec 2019	29 Dec 2019	W 2-0	4.00	0.99	3	+2.01	+2.13	+€3.00
M25	Fulham · Away1 Jan 2020	1 Jan 2020	W 2-1	4.47	0.89	3	+2.11	+4.24	+€3.47
M26	Nottingham Forest · Home11 Jan 2020	11 Jan 2020	D 1-1	2.41	1.47	1	−0.47	+3.76	−€1.00
M27	Millwall · Away18 Jan 2020	18 Jan 2020	L 0-2	3.55	1.11	0	−1.11	+2.66	−€1.00
M28	Nottingham Forest · Away22 Jan 2020	22 Jan 2020	D 1-1	3.96	1.00	1	0.00	+2.66	−€1.00
M29	Bristol City · Home28 Jan 2020	28 Jan 2020	L 0-1	2.22	1.56	0	−1.56	+1.10	−€1.00
M30	Cardiff · Away31 Jan 2020	31 Jan 2020	D 1-1	3.49	1.10	1	−0.10	+1.00	−€1.00
M31	Hull · Home8 Feb 2020	8 Feb 2020	D 1-1	1.80	1.83	1	−0.83	+0.17	−€1.00
M32	West Bromwich Albion · Home12 Feb 2020	12 Feb 2020	L 1-2	3.83	1.02	0	−1.02	−0.85	−€1.00
M33	Sheffield Wednesday · Away15 Feb 2020	15 Feb 2020	W 3-0	3.70	1.06	3	+1.94	+1.09	+€2.70
M34	Leeds · Away22 Feb 2020	22 Feb 2020	L 0-1	9.64	0.47	0	−0.47	+0.62	−€1.00
M35	Wigan · Home26 Feb 2020	26 Feb 2020	L 0-3	2.15	1.61	0	−1.61	−0.99	−€1.00
M36	Barnsley · Home29 Feb 2020	29 Feb 2020	W 2-0	2.42	1.47	3	+1.53	+0.54	+€1.42
M37	Birmingham · Away7 Mar 2020	7 Mar 2020	W 3-1	3.75	1.04	3	+1.96	+2.50	+€2.75
M38	Stoke · Home20 Jun 2020	20 Jun 2020	D 1-1	2.91	1.29	1	−0.29	+2.22	−€1.00
M39	Derby · Away27 Jun 2020	27 Jun 2020	L 1-2	3.66	1.06	0	−1.06	+1.15	−€1.00
M40	Brentford · Home30 Jun 2020	30 Jun 2020	L 0-3	5.90	0.73	0	−0.73	+0.42	−€1.00
M41	Luton · Away4 Jul 2020	4 Jul 2020	W 5-0	2.97	1.25	3	+1.75	+2.17	+€1.97
M42	Huddersfield · Home7 Jul 2020	7 Jul 2020	D 0-0	2.70	1.35	1	−0.35	+1.82	−€1.00
M43	Charlton · Away11 Jul 2020	11 Jul 2020	W 1-0	3.05	1.23	3	+1.77	+3.58	+€2.05
M44	Middlesbrough · Home14 Jul 2020	14 Jul 2020	L 1-2	3.29	1.16	0	−1.16	+2.43	−€1.00
M45	Blackburn · Away18 Jul 2020	18 Jul 2020	L 3-4	3.37	1.12	0	−1.12	+1.31	−€1.00
M46	Swansea · Home22 Jul 2020	22 Jul 2020	L 1-4	3.68	1.03	0	−1.03	+0.28	−€1.00
Total					55.72	56	+0.28		−€1.38